信用周观察系列：票息，债市避风港

1. Report Industry Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - From January 4 - 9, 2026, bond market yields first rose and then fell. Interest - rate bond yields increased across the board, and credit bonds became a safe - haven in the bond market with narrowing credit spreads. AA and below credit spreads mostly narrowed by 3 - 6bp [1][9]. - After the holiday, bond fund redemptions led to large - scale selling of bonds in the secondary market, mainly interest - rate bonds and Tier 2 and perpetual bonds, with a slight increase of 54.1 billion yuan in general credit bonds. Currently, the redemptions of impulsive funds have ended [1][9]. - The allocation demand for general credit bonds from financial management, insurance, money funds, and other asset management institutions has rebounded. Most non - bank institutions are still cautious about the maturity of credit bonds they buy, but other asset management institutions have been snapping up 7 - 10 - year credit bonds since mid - December 2025 [2][10]. - In the short term, due to the increase in market risk appetite during the spring rally, it is difficult to have a trending bond market, and the market may still favor the coupon strategy. It is recommended to focus on medium - and short - term coupon - rich varieties [2][13]. - Bank Tier 2 and perpetual bonds still have room for repair. For trading portfolios, it is recommended to control positions; for allocation portfolios with stable liability ends, 3 - 5 - year Tier 2 and perpetual bonds have cost - effectiveness [3][21]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 City Investment Bonds: Jiangsu and Zhejiang County - Level Platforms Contribute to Net Financing Increment, Short - Term Bonds are Preferred - From January 1 - 11, 2026, the net financing of city investment bonds was positive, mainly contributed by county - level platforms in Jiangsu and Zhejiang. The primary issuance sentiment improved, and the proportion of full - field multiples above 3 times increased from 35% to 46% [25]. - In terms of issuance interest rates, there was a divergence among different terms. The medium - and short - term rates stabilized, while the long - term rates continued to rise. The weighted average issuance interest rates for different terms showed different trends compared to the previous month [25]. - In the secondary market, city investment bonds remained resilient. Low - grade short - term bonds performed well, while high - grade 3 - 5 - year bonds performed poorly. The average daily trading volume was relatively high, and short - term, weak - quality varieties were more popular [28][32]. 3.2 Industrial Bonds: Net Financing Decreased Year - on - Year, and the Issuance Interest Rates for Medium - and Long - Term Bonds Continued to Rise - From January 1 - 11, 2026, the issuance and net financing of industrial bonds decreased year - on - year. The food and beverage, construction and decoration, and comprehensive industries had relatively large net financing scales. The issuance sentiment improved [34]. - The proportion of short - term issuance increased significantly. The issuance interest rates for 3 - year and shorter terms decreased, while those for 3 - 5 - year and 5 - year and above terms increased. The buying sentiment from brokers continued to weaken, and the trading duration lengthened [34][36]. 3.3 Bank Tier 2 and Perpetual Bonds: Spreads Narrowed Across the Board, and Trading Sentiment Warmed Up - From January 4 - 9, 2026, there were no new bank Tier 2 and perpetual bonds issued. In the secondary market, yields generally declined by 0 - 4bp, and spreads narrowed across the board. The trading sentiment warmed up slightly [39][42].