A股“开门红”后或如何演绎？

Report Information - Report Title: Credit Business Weekly - How Will the A-share Market Evolve After the "Good Start" in 2026? [1][2] - Report Date: January 12, 2026 - Analyst: Xu Chi, Zhang Wenyu - Analyst Certificates: S0740519080003, S0740520120003 Market Review Market Performance - Last week, most major market indices rose, with the Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index having the largest increase of 9.80% [7][13] - Among major industry indices, the Telecommunication Services Index and Healthcare Index performed relatively well, with weekly changes of 12.04% and 7.64% respectively; the Financial Index and Consumer Staples Index performed weakly, with weekly changes of 0.41% and 1.98% respectively [7][13] - Among 30 Shenwan primary industries, 29 industries rose. The industries with large increases were National Defense and Military Industry (13.63%), Media (13.10%), and Non-ferrous Metals (8.56%); the industries with large decreases were Banks (-1.90%), Transportation (-0.23%), and Petroleum and Petrochemical (-0.29%) [7][15][16] Trading Volume - The average daily trading volume of the Wind All A Index last week was 2.851951 trillion yuan (previous value: 2.128335 trillion yuan), at a historically high level (99.30% quantile in the past three years) [18] Valuation Tracking - As of January 9, 2026, the valuation (PE_TTM) of the Wind All A Index was 23.22, up 0.90 from last week, at the 97.30% quantile in the past five years [23] - Among 30 Shenwan primary industries, the valuations (PE_TTM) of 28 industries recovered [23] Market Observation Market Trends - Last week, the A-share market continued its strong upward trend, with significant index performance, increasing trading volume, and improved profit - making effect. The main broad - based indices generally rose, and the trading volume of the Wind All A Index increased. The market's risk preference significantly recovered [5] - In the high - point market last week, technology remained the strong main line, with sectors such as media, computer, and electronics leading the gains. National Defense and Military Industry and Non - ferrous Metals also supported the market [5] Outlook - In the future, the upward trend may continue before the trading volume significantly shrinks. The market is likely to continue to revolve around the two main lines of technology segment switching and the upward demand expectation and strategic reserve of resources [6] Investment Recommendations - In the short term, the market may continue the upward trend. Investors can grasp the opportunity to allocate during market fluctuations. The robot sector is the most recommended main line, and the commercial aerospace sector may enter the "theme diffusion" stage. Other sectors such as controllable nuclear fusion, sports and consumer services, and non - ferrous metals are also worthy of attention [6] Economic Calendar - This week, important economic data include China's export year - on - year rate (in US dollars) and the US PPI year - on - year rate [25]