Soochow Securities·2026-01-12 08:22Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the gas industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The temperature is expected to rise to normal levels, leading to a decrease in gas prices in Europe and the US [4][9] - The overall supply of gas is sufficient, with domestic gas prices showing a week-on-week decrease of 1.4% [21] - The report emphasizes the importance of optimizing costs for city gas companies and the ongoing adjustment of pricing mechanisms [50] Price Tracking - As of January 9, 2026, the week-on-week changes in gas prices are as follows: US HH -27.5%, European TTF -5.7%, East Asia JKM -1.4%, China LNG ex-factory -1.4%, and China LNG CIF -4.8% [4][10] - The average daily gas generation in Europe increased by 26.8% week-on-week and 109.7% year-on-year to 1635.8 GWh [16] Supply and Demand Analysis - The US natural gas market price decreased by 27.5% week-on-week due to rising temperatures, with storage levels down by 1190 billion cubic feet to 32560 billion cubic feet [14] - European gas consumption from January to September 2025 was 313.8 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 4.1% [16] - Domestic gas consumption from January to November 2025 increased by 1.5% year-on-year to 392 billion cubic meters [21] Pricing Progress - Nationwide pricing adjustments are gradually being implemented, with 67% of cities having executed residential pricing adjustments, averaging an increase of 0.22 yuan per cubic meter [34] - The report indicates that there is still a 10% room for price adjustment in city gas companies [34] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that can optimize costs and benefit from the ongoing pricing adjustments, such as Xin'ao Energy, China Resources Gas, and Kunlun Energy, all with dividend yields around 4.8% [51] - It also highlights the importance of companies with quality long-term contracts and flexible scheduling, such as Jiufeng Energy and Xin'ao Shares [51] - The report suggests paying attention to companies with gas production capabilities, such as Shouhua Gas and New Natural Gas, due to the increasing uncertainty in US gas imports [51]