半导体行业月报：长鑫IPO获受理，关注国内存储器产业链-20260112

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the semiconductor industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [1]. Core Insights - The semiconductor industry showed strong performance in December 2025, with a 5.11% increase, outperforming the 2.28% rise of the CSI 300 index. The overall industry saw a 45.07% increase throughout 2025 [6][12]. - Global semiconductor sales continued to grow, with a year-on-year increase of 29.8% in November 2025, marking 25 consecutive months of growth. The forecast for 2026 anticipates an 8.5% increase in global semiconductor sales [6]. - The demand for AI-related hardware infrastructure remains robust, with significant capital expenditure increases from major cloud service providers [6][8]. - The report highlights the ongoing price increases in DRAM and NAND Flash, with predictions of substantial contract price growth in early 2026 [6][8]. Summary by Sections 1. December 2025 Semiconductor Market Performance - The semiconductor sector outperformed the CSI 300 index, with notable increases in integrated circuits (4.32%) and semiconductor equipment (9.61%) [12]. - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose by 0.83% in December 2025, with a total increase of 42.23% for the year [18]. 2. Global Semiconductor Sales Growth - Global semiconductor sales saw a 29.8% year-on-year increase in November 2025, with a month-on-month growth of 3.5% [6]. - The demand for AI hardware is driving significant capital expenditures from major companies, with North American cloud providers increasing spending by 67% year-on-year in Q3 2025 [6][8]. 3. Price Trends in Memory Products - DRAM and NAND Flash prices continued to rise, with DRAM spot prices increasing approximately 15% and NAND prices by about 16% in December 2025 [6]. - Predictions for Q1 2026 suggest a 55-60% increase in DRAM contract prices and a 33-38% increase in NAND Flash contract prices [6][8]. 4. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities within the domestic memory industry chain, particularly in storage modules and semiconductor equipment, as domestic manufacturers are expected to accelerate production [6][8].