瑞博生物-b(06938):siRNA小核酸领域龙头,潜力FIC大单品FXIsiRNA目标百亿美金市场

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 114.6 RMB / 128.3 HKD, indicating approximately 50% upside potential from the current stock price of 86.8 HKD [1]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in the siRNA field, focusing on chronic diseases and has developed proprietary delivery technologies with global competitiveness. It has established strategic partnerships, including one with Boehringer Ingelheim, which could yield up to 2.36 billion euros in milestone payments [7][19]. - The global market for small nucleic acid drugs is projected to grow significantly, from 5.7 billion USD in 2024 to 54.9 billion USD by 2033, with a CAGR of 21%-29% [7][43]. - The company's FXI siRNA product has the potential to tap into a market space worth over 10 billion USD, addressing significant clinical needs in the anticoagulant drug market [7][43]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 2007, specializes in siRNA drug development and has built a comprehensive industry chain from drug discovery to commercialization, becoming a global leader in the small nucleic acid drug development field [13][14]. Market Potential - The small nucleic acid drug market is expected to grow rapidly, with siRNA drugs projected to capture a larger market share due to advancements in delivery systems and chemical modifications [43][45]. - The report highlights that the siRNA market is anticipated to grow at a higher rate than ASO drugs, with siRNA drugs expected to account for 44.5% of the market by 2024 [43][45]. Product Pipeline - The company has a robust pipeline with four candidates in Phase 2 clinical trials and over 20 projects in preclinical stages, demonstrating a strong capability to advance multiple assets to clinical development each year [26][24]. - Key products include FXI siRNA, APOC3 siRNA, and HBV siRNA, each targeting significant patient populations and addressing unmet clinical needs [7][29]. Financial Projections - Revenue is expected to grow significantly, with total revenue projected to reach 142.63 million RMB in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 324,052.27% [1]. - The company anticipates achieving profitability by 2030, with a 50% revenue sharing model with partners [7].