冠通期货资讯早间报-20260113

1. Overnight Market Performance - Domestic commodity futures market closed with widespread gains, precious metals, shipping futures, new energy materials, and base metals rose significantly, Shanghai silver rose 14.42%, the container shipping index (European line) rose 11.3%, and Shanghai tin hit the daily limit [4][43] - International precious metal futures generally closed higher, COMEX gold futures rose 2.40% to $4608.80 per ounce, COMEX silver futures rose 7.33% to $85.16 per ounce [5][45] - The main contract of US crude oil closed up 1.22% at $59.84 per barrel; the main contract of Brent crude oil rose 1.41% to $64.23 per barrel [6][45] - London base metals all rose, LME tin rose 5.47% to $48,200.0 per ton, LME nickel rose 2.12% to $18,075.0 per ton, etc [6][45] 2. Important News 2.1 Macroeconomic News - China and the EU will provide general guidance on price commitments to Chinese exporters of pure electric vehicles to the EU [9] - As of January 12, 2026, the Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index (European route) was 1956.39 points, up 8.9% from the previous period [10] - Trump denied participating in the Justice Department's subpoena of the Federal Reserve [10] - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange called on market participants to strengthen risk prevention [10] 2.2 Energy and Chemical Futures - As of the week ending January 12, domestic asphalt social inventory increased by 2.4% week - on - week and 26.7% year - on - year [12] - As of January 12, domestic soda ash manufacturers' total inventory decreased by 0.51% from the previous Thursday [14] - From January 2 - 8, the operating rate of Chinese LOW - E glass sample enterprises remained stable [15] - As of January 12, the MEG inventory in the East China main port area increased by 4.7 tons from the previous period [15] 2.3 Metal Futures - The Shanghai Gold Exchange warned of significant price fluctuations in precious metals [17] - Nearly 50% of lithium - battery enterprises expect lithium carbonate prices to exceed 200,000 yuan by April 1 [17] - Australia plans to buy and stockpile key minerals [17] - On January 12, the price of spodumene forward spot rose [17] - On January 12, the market transaction price of battery - grade lithium fluoride rose by 10,000 yuan per ton [19] 2.4 Black - Series Futures - The Dalian Commodity Exchange solicited opinions on adjusting the inspection method for iron ore delivery quality standards [21] - From January 5 - 11, the arrival volume of iron ore at 47 ports in China increased, while the global iron ore shipping volume decreased [21] - Last week, the coking coal online auction failure rate dropped to a two - month low [21] - Handan launched a level - II emergency response for heavy pollution weather on January 12 [22] 2.5 Agricultural Product Futures - In the 2025/26 season, China's soybean production was slightly adjusted, with an expected output of 20.91 million tons [25] - Malaysia's palm oil export volume from January 1 - 10 increased, while production decreased [25] - As of January 7, the hog - to - corn ratio was 5.51, up 2.04% from December 31, 2025 [26] - Malaysia's palm oil inventory in December increased by 7.58% month - on - month [26] - Brazilian soybean harvest rate as of last Thursday was 0.6% [27] - As of January 8, the US soybean export inspection volume was 1.529707 million tons [27] - The 2025/26 global soybean production is expected to increase by 3.1 million tons [28] - The US corn production in 2025/26 is expected to increase [28] 3. Financial Markets 3.1 Financial Sector - A - share commercial space concept stocks and AI concept stocks issued risk warnings [30] - Hong Kong stocks rose, with the Hang Seng Index up 1.44% [30] - Fund companies adjusted the operation mechanisms of precious - metal - related funds [30] - Brain - computer interface company Strong Brain Technology secretly submitted a Hong Kong IPO application [31] - XPeng's flying car division submitted a confidential Hong Kong IPO application [32] 3.2 Industrial Sector - The global memory chip industry is in a price - rising cycle, and packaging and testing manufacturers have raised prices [34] - Tianjin will manage the sales prices of new commercial housing [34] - The Mars sample return mission of NASA and ESA was cancelled [34] - The Lihong - 1 aircraft completed its first sub - orbital flight test [34] - Tianjin University completed the first "space brain - computer interface experiment" [35] - A 630℃ power unit generator rotor was successfully installed [35] - Five types of original special cosmetics need to be re - registered as ordinary cosmetics [37] - Banks launched "asset improvement activities" [37] - In 2025, global smartphone shipments increased by 2% year - on - year [37] 3.3 Overseas Markets - Trump imposed a 25% tariff on countries doing business with Iran [38] - Trump warned of huge compensation if the US Supreme Court made an unfavorable tariff ruling [38] - The UK and Germany are discussing deploying troops in Greenland [38] - India's PSLV rocket failed in a launch [38] - US, European, and Asia - Pacific stock markets showed different trends [40][41] - The US House Republicans are promoting a bill to ban insider trading by congressmen [40] - South Korea plans to extend stock trading hours [42] 3.4 Commodity Markets - Domestic and international commodity futures markets generally rose [43][45] - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange restricted the trading of some clients in lithium carbonate futures [46] 3.5 Bond Markets - China's bond market strengthened, while US bond yields rose [47] 3.6 Foreign Exchange Markets - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose, and the RMB exchange rate index reached new highs [48] 4. Upcoming Economic Data and Events 4.1 Economic Data - Various economic data such as Japan's trade balance, UK's retail sales, and US CPI will be released [50] 4.2 Events - FOMC members and European Central Bank officials will give speeches [52] - Multiple conferences and expos will be held [52] - China's central bank has reverse repurchase maturities [52]