公用环保 202601 第 2 期:2025年1-11月光伏/风电发电利用率同比下滑,重视环保+资源品投资逻辑
Guoxin Securities·2026-01-13 05:07

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utility and environmental sectors [1][8]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of the "environment + resource products" investment logic, highlighting that many environmental companies possess resource attributes and can extract valuable materials from waste [2][16]. - The report notes a decline in the utilization rates of photovoltaic and wind power generation in 2025, with a focus on the implications for investment strategies in the sector [1][14]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.79%, while the public utility index increased by 2.54% and the environmental index by 3.88% [1][24]. - In the power sector, coal and electricity prices are expected to decline, but profitability for thermal power is anticipated to remain reasonable [22]. Important Events - From January to November 2025, the national photovoltaic and wind power generation utilization rates were 94.8% and 94.3%, respectively, showing a year-on-year decline [1][14]. - The report discusses the implementation of the "Renewable Energy Green Power Certificate Management Implementation Rules," which will affect the issuance of green certificates for renewable energy [15]. Investment Strategy - Recommendations include major thermal power companies like Huadian International and Shanghai Electric, as well as leading renewable energy firms such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy [22]. - The report suggests focusing on environmental companies with stable cash flows and growth potential, such as China Everbright Environment and Shanghai Industrial Holdings [23]. Key Company Profit Forecasts and Investment Ratings - Huadian International (600027.SH) is rated "Outperform" with an expected EPS of 0.46 for 2024 and a PE ratio of 10.2 [8]. - Longyuan Power (001289.SZ) is also rated "Outperform," with an expected EPS of 0.75 for 2024 and a PE ratio of 20.4 [8]. - China Nuclear Power (601985.SH) is rated "Outperform" with an expected EPS of 0.46 for 2024 and a PE ratio of 21.2 [8].