HTSC·2026-01-13 05:10Group 1: Fixed Income Market Insights - In the second week of January, the real estate sector showed a significant decline in new home heat, while second-hand homes saw a slight increase, remaining below last year's levels, indicating a need for price improvement [2] - Industrial production showed a widening year-on-year decline in freight volume, with a mixed performance in production rates across sectors, particularly in coking and chemicals, while construction materials like cement showed a slight narrowing in supply-demand decline [2] - External demand indicators showed a year-on-year decline in throughput, but continued resilience in exports to South Korea and Vietnam, while consumer demand for travel and automotive purchases showed signs of recovery [2] Group 2: Real Estate Sector Analysis - The Hong Kong real estate market is experiencing a recovery, with November housing prices continuing to rise, and December private residential transaction volumes significantly increasing year-on-year, reaching a twenty-year high for new home sales [6] - Retail sales in Hong Kong showed a rebound, with November retail rental declines significantly narrowing, indicating a positive trend for commercial real estate [6] - The report recommends focusing on Hong Kong-listed property companies, particularly New World Development and Link REIT, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing recovery in the market [6] Group 3: Electric Power Equipment and New Energy - The adjustment of export tax rebates for battery products is expected to lead to a short-term surge in battery exports, intensifying supply-demand tensions in lithium and related sectors, while long-term effects may favor companies with overseas production capabilities [7] - Recommended companies include CATL, EVE Energy, and others, which are well-positioned to benefit from the changing landscape in the battery industry [7] Group 4: Nonferrous Metals Sector - The report indicates that profits in the electrolytic aluminum sector are expected to rise in the first half of 2026, driven by a tightening supply-demand balance despite current weak downstream purchasing sentiment [8] - The anticipated seasonal demand in the "golden three silver four" months is expected to support aluminum prices and profit margins [8] Group 5: Technology Sector Developments - NVIDIA's acquisition of Groq is highlighted as a significant strategic move, emphasizing the importance of low-latency inference technology in the evolving AI landscape [9] - This acquisition is expected to enhance NVIDIA's capabilities in the Agentic AI sector, aligning with industry trends towards more responsive AI systems [9] Group 6: Semiconductor Industry Insights - The report discusses the increasing capital expenditure in the semiconductor cleanroom sector, driven by the demand for advanced manufacturing processes, with expectations of significant growth in the global semiconductor market [11] - Companies involved in cleanroom construction are expected to see improved profitability due to the high demand and limited supply of skilled labor in overseas markets [11] Group 7: Key Company Recommendations - Junwei Electronics is recommended for a buy rating, with a target price of 42.1 yuan, as it transitions from a precision resistor leader to a comprehensive current detection solution provider [12] - The report also highlights the potential of WeRide, with a buy rating and target prices set for both Hong Kong and US markets, due to its dual focus on domestic and international markets for autonomous driving [13]