Orient Securities·2026-01-13 09:22Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (渝农商行) [1] Core Views - The bank's net profit is expected to grow by 5.1% in 2025, 10.1% in 2026, and 9.5% in 2027, with corresponding book value per share (BVPS) of 12.05, 13.13, and 14.32 yuan [7] - The target price is set at 8.29 yuan per share, reflecting a 10% premium over comparable companies [7] Summary by Sections 1. Local State-Owned Capital Continues to Increase - The new chairman's appointment is expected to drive the execution of strategies aimed at addressing weaknesses and tapping potential [14] - The local state-owned assets management committee has a strong focus on market value management, with significant shareholding in the bank [14][18] 2. Actively Expanding Scale Based on Regional Endowments - The economic turning point in Chongqing is expected to drive demand for the bank's services [24] - The bank is increasing its public loan issuance, with public loans accounting for 54% of the total [39] 3. Improvement in Net Interest Margin and Asset Quality - The bank is experiencing a narrowing of interest margin decline, with asset quality showing clear improvement [10] - The credit cost is expected to remain low, with non-performing loans being effectively managed [10] 4. Plans for ROE Improvement - The bank's return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve, supported by strategic initiatives and management experience [10][19] 5. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The report provides detailed financial projections, including revenue and profit growth, alongside a valuation analysis [9][7]