First Shanghai Securities·2026-01-13 11:11Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the domestic computing power industry, including Cambrian (688256) and SMIC (0981.HK) [7][12]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the certainty of investment opportunities in the domestic computing power sector, driven by the upcoming release of the new generation of computing power chips, represented by H Company’s 950 series, which will enter mass production in the first quarter [5][6]. - The domestic computing power industry is expected to see significant growth, with ByteDance projected to invest 150 billion in global computing power procurement in 2026, of which 60-65 billion is expected to be allocated domestically, with over 40 billion for domestic computing power [6]. - The report suggests that the impact of the H200 release on the domestic computing power industry will be limited, as the primary application scenarios differ from those of domestic solutions [6]. Summary by Sections Supply Side - The domestic computing power sector has faced challenges due to U.S. restrictions on advanced semiconductor processes and key materials. However, breakthroughs are anticipated starting in the second half of 2025, with improved collaboration between chip design companies and foundries expected to enhance production yields by 2026 [5][6]. - The report highlights the optimization of the supply chain and the collaboration between hardware and software, which has significantly improved the usability of domestic computing power in AI inference scenarios [5]. Demand Side - The demand for computing power in 2026 is becoming clearer, with major internet companies like Alibaba and Tencent also planning significant investments in domestic computing power [6]. - The report notes that the three major telecom operators are expected to increase their procurement of domestic computing power to meet the growing demand from AI applications [6]. Key Companies to Watch - The report recommends focusing on Cambrian (688256) as a representative of domestic computing power card suppliers and SMIC (0981.HK) as a leading foundry. Additionally, attention is drawn to Huahong Semiconductor (1347.HK) for its advancements in advanced processes [7]. - The report also suggests monitoring companies related to domestic IC substrates due to supply bottlenecks caused by shortages of upstream materials, recommending companies like Shenzhen South Circuit (002916) and Pengding Holdings (002938) [7]. Overseas Computing Power Industry - The report observes a shift in the driving force of AI computing power from training large models to deploying inference applications, with companies like Google leading advancements in model capabilities [8][9]. - The report anticipates continued high growth in AI application-driven computing power demand, with major companies expected to double their computing power every six months over the next few years [10].