Investment Rating - The investment rating for Han's CNC Technology is "Buy" with a high-risk designation [5][18]. Core Insights - Han's CNC Technology reported preliminary earnings for 2025 that significantly exceeded expectations, with net profit projected to increase by 161%-194% year-over-year to Rmb785 million-885 million, surpassing CitiE's estimate by 11%-26% and Bloomberg consensus by 12%-26% [1][2]. - The strong earnings growth is attributed to robust demand for PCB equipment, driven by PCB manufacturers expanding capacities to meet the rising demand from AI servers and switches [1]. - The company anticipates a further 67% year-over-year earnings growth in 2026, with potential upside from both mechanical drilling and ultrafast laser drilling equipment, which are applicable for AI PCBs and optical transceivers [1]. Summary by Sections Earnings Summary - For 2023, net profit was Rmb136 million, with a diluted EPS of Rmb0.323, reflecting a decline of 68.8% [3]. - In 2024, net profit is expected to rise to Rmb301 million, with an EPS of Rmb0.717, showing a growth of 122.2% [3]. - The 2025 estimate includes a net profit of Rmb705 million and an EPS of Rmb1.679, indicating a growth of 134.1% [3]. - Projections for 2026 estimate net profit at Rmb1,179 million and an EPS of Rmb2.807, with a growth rate of 67.2% [3]. Market Implications - The strong preliminary results for 2025 are expected to positively impact the share prices of both Han's CNC and its parent company, Han's Laser, which holds approximately 84% of Han's CNC [7]. - The anticipated demand from major clients, such as Apple, for new products like the foldable iPhone, is not yet fully reflected in the stock prices [7]. Valuation - The target price for Han's CNC is set at Rmb140, based on a 50x P/E ratio for 2026 estimates, which is considered reasonable given the projected earnings growth [17].
大族数控-2025 年初步业绩大幅超花旗及市场一致预期；重申买入