南华期货碳酸锂数据日报-20260114
Nan Hua Qi Huo·2026-01-14 09:57
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report No clear core viewpoints are explicitly stated in the provided content. The report seems to be a comprehensive data - driven analysis of the lithium carbonate market, presenting various data on futures, spot, basis, and cost - profit aspects. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Data - The strong support level of the lithium carbonate main contract is 120,000 yuan/ton, with a 20 - day rolling volatility of 68.4% and a 3 - year historical percentile of 94.9% [3] - The closing price of the main contract is 161,940 yuan/ton, down 5,040 yuan (3.02%) daily and up 19,640 yuan (13.80%) weekly. The trading volume is 589,019 lots, down 19,158 lots (3.15%) daily and up 168,612 lots (40.11%) weekly. The open interest is 452,583 lots, down 7,698 lots (1.67%) daily and down 53,937 lots (10.65%) weekly [4] - The closing price of the weighted - index contract is 162,418 yuan/ton, down 5,025 yuan (3.00%) daily and up 19,892 yuan (13.96%) weekly. The trading volume is 1,086,844 lots, down 95,128 lots (8.05%) daily and up 349,719 lots (47.44%) weekly. The open interest is 886,318 lots, down 15,033 lots (1.67%) daily and down 77,914 lots (8.08%) weekly [4] - The price differences between different contracts (e.g., LC2605 - LC2607, LC2605 - LC2609, LC2607 - LC2609) have different daily and weekly changes [4] - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange's lithium carbonate warehouse receipts are 26,898 lots, up 928 lots (3.57%) daily and up 3,757 lots (16.24%) weekly [4] 3.2 Spot Data - In the lithium ore segment, prices of various lithium ores such as lithium mica, lithium spodumene from different sources have different daily and weekly changes. For example, the latest average price of 2 - 2.5% lithium mica is 4,990 yuan/ton, up 40 yuan (0.81%) daily [22] - In the lithium salt segment, prices of industrial - grade and battery - grade lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide all increased. For example, the price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 159,500 yuan/ton, up 3,500 yuan (2.24%) daily [22] - For cell materials, prices of some materials increased while others remained unchanged. For example, the price of energy - storage lithium iron phosphate is 57,190 yuan/ton, up 950 yuan (1.69%) daily [23] - The US dollar to RMB exchange rate is 6.978, up 0.0033 (0.05%) [23] - The differences between battery - grade lithium carbonate and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, battery - grade lithium carbonate and battery - grade lithium hydroxide, and battery - grade lithium hydroxide CIF in Japan, South Korea and domestic prices also have corresponding daily and weekly changes [26] 3.3 Basis and Warehouse Receipt Data - The basis of the main continuous contract of lithium carbonate and the near - month contract of lithium carbonate are presented in the form of historical charts [29][30] - Different lithium carbonate brands have different basis quotes for the LC2601 contract, with some having zero daily changes and some having non - zero changes [31] - The total number of warehouse receipts is 26,898 lots, up 928 lots. Different storage locations have different changes in warehouse receipt quantities [35] 3.4 Cost - Profit Data - The production profits of lithium carbonate from外购 lithium ore (lithium spodumene and lithium mica) are presented in historical charts [37] - The production profits of lithium hydroxide by causticizing method and smelting method are presented in historical charts [37] - The theoretical delivery profit of lithium carbonate, the export profit of lithium hydroxide, and the import profit of lithium carbonate are presented in historical charts [38][39]