——2025年12月进出口数据点评：出口逆势破局，继续看好2026年表现

Export Performance - In December 2025, China's exports reached $357.78 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.6%, surpassing the expected 2.2%[2] - The cumulative year-on-year growth for exports in 2025 was 5.5%[3] - High-tech products, integrated circuits, and automobiles were the main drivers of export growth, while labor-intensive products showed weak contributions[3] Import Trends - Imports in December 2025 totaled $243.64 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 5.7%, up from 1.9% in November[2][18] - Key imports included copper and iron ore, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 33.2% and 10.1%[18] Trade Balance - The trade surplus for December 2025 was $114.14 billion, slightly up from $111.68 billion in the previous month[2] Regional Export Dynamics - Exports to the EU and ASEAN grew by 11.6% and 11.1% respectively, while exports to the US fell by 30.0%[5] - The combined share of exports to the US, EU, and ASEAN accounted for 42.6% of total exports[5] Future Outlook - The outlook for 2026 remains optimistic, driven by fiscal expansion in major economies and alignment of China's competitive industries with global demand[22] - Potential impacts from easing US-China trade tensions and possible changes in tax policies in the EU and Japan are expected to have limited effects on exports[22] Risks - Risks include potential inflation in the US, high interest rates affecting global demand, and escalating international trade conflicts[25]