快手-W(01024):可灵12月ARR2.4亿美金,关注1月产品破圈带动用增和流水再上台阶
Orient Securities·2026-01-14 14:19

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 103.27 HKD per share, based on an 18x PE valuation for 2026 [4][10][6]. Core Insights - The company's ARR reached 240 million USD by December 2025, ranking 14th globally in commercialization, with expectations for continued revenue growth in January 2026 driven by product advantages in the consumer sector [2][3]. - The company is projected to achieve a 9% year-on-year revenue growth in 2026, with total revenue expected to reach 154.9 billion CNY, and an adjusted profit of 22.5 billion CNY, reflecting a 10% increase [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 is forecasted at 113.47 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 20.5%. This is expected to increase to 167.52 billion CNY by 2027, with a growth rate of 8.2% [5][12]. - Adjusted net profit is projected to grow from 6.4 billion CNY in 2023 to 24.77 billion CNY by 2027, with corresponding growth rates of -146.7% in 2023 and 15.4% in 2027 [5][12]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve from 50.6% in 2023 to 56.8% in 2027, while the net profit margin is projected to rise from 5.6% to 14.8% over the same period [5][12].

KUAISHOU-快手-W(01024):可灵12月ARR2.4亿美金,关注1月产品破圈带动用增和流水再上台阶 - Reportify