Guolian Minsheng Securities·2026-01-15 01:13Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the electric equipment and new energy sectors, including CATL, Keda, and others, indicating a positive outlook for their performance [6][7]. Core Insights - The global power battery installation volume reached 1,046 GWh from January to November 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 32.60%, with CATL leading the market with a share of 38.2% [2][15][19]. - The cancellation of export tax rebates for photovoltaic products starting April 1, 2026, is expected to increase direct costs for companies and reduce price competitiveness in the global market [3][34][37]. - The Chinese government aims to establish a new type of power grid by 2030, enhancing resource allocation capabilities and supporting a renewable energy generation share of around 30% [4][52][53]. Summary by Sections 1. New Energy Vehicles - The global power battery installation volume reached 1,046 GWh from January to November 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 32.60% [2][15]. - CATL leads the market with 400 GWh, followed by BYD with 175.2 GWh, and LG Energy with 96.9 GWh [16][19]. - The market concentration is high, with the top ten companies holding nearly 90% of the market share, and Chinese companies occupying six spots in the top ten [15][16]. 2. New Energy Generation - The cancellation of export tax rebates for photovoltaic products will lead to increased costs for companies and a decrease in price competitiveness [3][34]. - The expected impact includes a rise in global photovoltaic component prices and a potential clearing of outdated production capacity [35][37]. 3. Electric Equipment and Automation - The Chinese government plans to build a new type of power grid by 2030, which will significantly enhance resource allocation capabilities [4][52]. - The "West-East Power Transmission" project is expected to exceed 420 million kilowatts, supporting a renewable energy generation share of about 30% [52][53]. 4. Commercial Aerospace - China has submitted an application for an additional 203,000 satellites, which is expected to stimulate demand for rockets and satellites [5]. 5. Weekly Sector Performance - The electric equipment and new energy sector rose by 5.02% this week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [1].