Group 1: Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Group 2: Core View - The tin market is in a high-level consolidation [1]. Group 3: Summary by Directory Fundamental Tracking - Price Data: The closing price of the Shanghai Tin main contract was 433.000 with a daily increase of 4.80%, and the night - session closing price was 418.860 with a decrease of 3.27%. The price of the LME Tin 3M electronic - disk futures was 52.775 with a decrease of 2.27% [2]. - Trading Volume and Open Interest: The trading volume of the Shanghai Tin main contract was 592,217, an increase of 187,519 from the previous day, and the open interest was 38,481, a decrease of 3,924. The trading volume of the LME Tin 3M electronic - disk was 2,851, an increase of 1,315, and the open interest was 23,960, an increase of 401 [2]. - Inventory Data: The inventory of Shanghai Tin was 9,526, an increase of 2,419, and the inventory of LME Tin was 5,925, a decrease of 5. The cancellation warrant ratio of LME Tin was 6.57%, a decrease of 0.38% [2]. - Spot Price: The SMM 1 tin ingot price was 426,000, an increase of 20,500 from the previous day. The Yangtze River Non - ferrous 1 tin average price was 435,000, an increase of 25,000 [2]. - Industry Chain Price: The 40% tin concentrate (Yunnan) price was 414,000, an increase of 20,500. The 60% tin concentrate (Guangxi) price was 418,000, an increase of 20,500 [2]. Macro and Industry News - The State - owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council will strengthen the role of state - owned enterprises as the main body of technological innovation and cultivate leading technology enterprises [2]. - Goldman Sachs plans to issue at least $12 billion in bonds [3]. - The People's Bank of China has lowered the policy tool interest rate by 0.25 percentage points, and there is still room for reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts this year [4]. - The demand for AI chips remains strong, TSMC's Q4 net profit increased by 35%, and its full - year capital expenditure in 2025 reached $40.9 billion [5]. Trend Strength - The tin trend strength is 0, indicating a neutral outlook. The trend strength ranges from - 2 (most bearish) to 2 (most bullish) [6].
锡:高位整理
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2026-01-16 02:09