镁行业系列报告一:奇点已至,镁业腾飞
Orient Securities·2026-01-16 02:21

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the magnesium industry [7]. Core Viewpoints - The magnesium industry is approaching a "singularity moment" as the penetration of magnesium alloys in the electric vehicle and humanoid robot sectors accelerates, with leading manufacturers expected to see a rapid release of orders [4][14]. - The magnesium-aluminum ratio is at a historical low, opening up cost-effective opportunities for magnesium to replace aluminum in various applications [10][12]. - Technological advancements are addressing the corrosion resistance and processing challenges of magnesium alloys, facilitating broader application [10][11]. Summary by Sections 1. Lightweight Cycle Review - The penetration rate of magnesium alloys has lagged behind expectations, particularly in the electric vehicle sector, where the aluminum usage per vehicle is significantly higher than that of magnesium [23][24]. 2. Low Magnesium-Aluminum Ratio - The magnesium-aluminum ratio has dropped below 1, indicating that magnesium alloys are becoming more economically viable compared to aluminum [10][12]. - The supply of aluminum remains tight due to high overseas electricity prices and operational challenges, while the magnesium supply is gradually stabilizing [34][46]. 3. Technological Breakthroughs - Advances in semi-solid forming technology are improving the mechanical properties and corrosion resistance of magnesium alloys, thus expanding their application potential [10][11][32]. - The demand for lightweight materials in electric vehicles and humanoid robots is increasing, with projections indicating a significant rise in magnesium alloy usage [10][12][41]. 4. Summary - The magnesium industry is expected to experience growth driven by increasing demand and supply optimization policies, benefiting leading magnesium refining companies [54][56]. 5. Listed Companies - Key investment targets include Baowu Magnesium Industry (002182, Buy) and Xingyuan Zhuomag (301398, Not Rated), both of which are positioned to benefit from the industry's growth [4][14].