Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the market index [3][6]. Core Insights - The company signed new contracts worth 71.24 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 12%. The fourth quarter alone saw new contracts of 11.35 billion yuan, up 7% year-on-year. As of the end of 2025, the company had an order backlog of 66.46 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.3% increase year-on-year [1]. - The company is accelerating its overseas expansion, with new contracts in international markets reaching 45.02 billion yuan, a significant increase of 24% year-on-year. In contrast, domestic contracts decreased by 4% to 26.21 billion yuan, indicating a gradual reduction in domestic project drag [5]. - The high-end equipment segment saw a remarkable growth of 30% in new contracts, totaling 9.3 billion yuan, with mining equipment orders doubling to 1.69 billion yuan, a 129% increase [5]. - The company is expected to maintain growth during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, supported by a strong order backlog and increasing overseas business, while domestic engineering drag is anticipated to lessen [5]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.078 billion yuan in 2025, with growth rates of 3.2%, 6.2%, and 7.7% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are estimated at 8.99, 8.46, and 7.86 times [6][7]. - Revenue forecasts for the years 2024 to 2027 are as follows: 46.127 billion yuan (2024), 48.558 billion yuan (2025), 51.026 billion yuan (2026), and 54.354 billion yuan (2027), with growth rates of 0.72%, 5.27%, 5.08%, and 6.52% respectively [7].
中材国际(600970):动态点评:25年境外、装备订单高增,境内工程拖累减少