电力天然气周报：国网计划“十五五”投资固定资产4万亿元，多省明确天然气关键战略能源定位-20260118

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility sector is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The State Grid plans to invest 4 trillion yuan in fixed assets during the 14th Five-Year Plan, a 40% increase compared to the previous plan, focusing on green transformation and enhancing grid functionality [5] - Natural gas is recognized as a key strategic energy source in the 14th Five-Year Plan across multiple provinces, emphasizing its role in connecting traditional and new energy systems without setting consumption caps [5] - The power sector is expected to see profit improvement and value reassessment due to previous supply-demand tensions, with a gradual increase in electricity prices anticipated [5] Market Performance - As of January 16, the utility sector rose by 0.1%, outperforming the broader market, while the electricity sector increased by 0.20% and the gas sector decreased by 1.17% [4][12] - Key companies in the electricity sector showed varied performance, with Jidian Co. rising by 11.17% and Guodian Power falling by 3.24% [18] Electricity Industry Data Tracking - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port (Q5500) was 697 yuan/ton, a weekly increase of 1 yuan/ton [4][23] - The inventory of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port was 5.5 million tons, an increase of 150,000 tons week-on-week [30] - The daily coal consumption of inland power plants was 4.147 million tons, an increase of 96,000 tons/day week-on-week [34] Natural Gas Industry Data Tracking - The LNG ex-factory price index in China was 3,854 yuan/ton as of January 15, a 1.29% increase week-on-week [60] - The domestic apparent consumption of natural gas in November was 36.280 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 4.1% [5] - The EU natural gas supply in the 52nd week of 2025 was 5.86 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 2.8% [67] Investment Recommendations - For the electricity sector, companies like Guodian Power, Huaneng International, and Huadian International are recommended due to expected profit improvements [5] - In the natural gas sector, companies such as Xin'ao Co. and Guanghui Energy are highlighted as potential beneficiaries of market conditions [5]