Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the AI application market is not yet over, with a shift from broad-based gains to a focus on stocks with strong fundamentals expected to occur [2][4]. - Three key factors are identified as catalysts for the continuation of the AI application market: macroeconomic conditions, industry trends, and performance validation [4][5]. Macroeconomic Background - A relatively abundant liquidity environment in the A-share market supports high-growth software applications, with expectations for continued loose monetary policy in 2026 [4]. - The Chinese yuan has been appreciating, and increased geopolitical tensions abroad have heightened global interest in Chinese assets, creating favorable conditions for the stock market [4]. Industry Trends - The underlying technology framework for AI applications is rapidly maturing, with significant improvements in computing efficiency and cost-effectiveness supporting commercialization [5]. - AI application business models are transitioning from concept validation to revenue generation, with some vertical models entering the performance validation phase [5]. Performance Validation - The third-quarter performance of AI applications shows a notable recovery, with revenue growth accelerating from 0.74% in the mid-2025 report to 1.55% in the third quarter, marking the highest level since 2023 [5][6]. - Specific AI vertical companies have demonstrated impressive performance, such as 360's net profit growth increasing from 17.43% in the mid-year report to 78.88% in the third quarter [6]. Focus on Strong Fundamentals - The software application market is expected to shift from broad gains to a focus on stocks with strong fundamentals, similar to trends observed in the 2013-2015 mobile internet boom [9]. - Companies with strong fundamentals in AI applications are concentrated in sectors like "AI + entertainment," "AI + office," "AI + gaming," and "AI + marketing," indicating potential investment opportunities in these niches [10].
策略点评:AI应用行情未完
Bank of China Securities·2026-01-18 08:50