GF SECURITIES·2026-01-18 10:06Core Insights - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the food and beverage industry, consistent with previous ratings, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [4] - The report highlights the cautious inventory management in the liquor market, particularly in Henan, with the upcoming Spring Festival sales performance still uncertain [17][19] - The demand for frozen food in Henan is showing signs of improvement as preparations for the Spring Festival begin, with increased confidence among distributors [22] - In Shanghai, the "锅圈" (Guoquan) stores are undergoing significant renovations, leading to a notable increase in daily sales post-renovation [25][27] Weekly Focus: Henan & Shanghai Market Tracking - Henan Liquor Market: Inventory levels are low, and major brands like Moutai are seeing stable pricing, with the Spring Festival sales performance yet to be observed [17][19] - Henan Food Supply Market: Distributors are beginning to stock up for the Spring Festival, with a slight uptick in demand noted [22] - Shanghai Guoquan Store Renovations: The store renovations have led to a significant increase in daily sales, with new product categories contributing to revenue growth [25][27] Food and Beverage Sector Overview - The food and beverage sector experienced a decline of 2.1% in the week of January 12-16, underperforming compared to the CSI 300 index [29] - The valuation of the food and beverage sector stands at a PE-TTM of 21.2X, with the white liquor sector at 18.3X, indicating a relative valuation compared to the broader market [43][46] Recent Key Announcements & News - The report includes updates on major companies like Qianwei Culinary and Sanquan Foods, highlighting their strategic adjustments and product innovations aimed at enhancing competitiveness [23][24] - The report notes that the industry is moving away from price wars towards a focus on product innovation and quality assurance [24] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends key liquor brands such as Luzhou Laojiao, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Moutai, as well as consumer goods companies like Anjuke Foods and Tianwei Foods, indicating potential investment opportunities [8][12]