行业周报:业绩为王,继续重点推荐创新药产业链板块性机会-20260118
KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2026-01-18 10:10

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the performance of leading CXO companies is impressive, with significant growth expected in 2025. Notable companies such as WuXi AppTec, WuXi Biologics, and CRDMO are projected to see substantial revenue increases, with WuXi AppTec's revenue expected to grow by approximately 21.4% year-on-year, and net profit expected to increase by 102.7% [3][12] - The demand side is gradually improving, with the global healthcare industry expected to see a total investment of $63.882 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.13%. The domestic market in China is also showing signs of recovery, with total financing in the healthcare sector expected to reach 73.777 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.05% [4][18] Summary by Sections Section 1: Performance of Leading CXO Companies - The report indicates that leading CXO companies are expected to continue their strong performance into 2025, with significant revenue and profit growth anticipated. WuXi AppTec is expected to achieve a revenue of approximately 45.456 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 21.4% and a net profit increase of 102.65% [12][13] - WuXi Biologics is projected to benefit from the ADC sector, with revenue growth exceeding 45% and gross profit growth over 70% [3][12] - CRDMO is also expected to see a revenue increase of 13% to 16%, with net profit growth of 36% to 41% [14] Section 2: Demand Side Improvement - The global healthcare investment is expected to reach $63.882 billion in 2025, with a notable recovery in the second half of the year, showing a year-on-year increase of 10.13% [4][18] - In China, the total financing in the healthcare sector is projected to reach 73.777 billion yuan, marking a 39.05% year-on-year increase, with a significant rise in new drug IND applications [18][19] - The report notes that the average R&D investment among the top 30 global pharmaceutical companies is expected to grow steadily, with an average of $4.172 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.45% [4][20] Section 3: Market Trends - In the second week of January 2026, the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector saw a decline of 0.68%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.11 percentage points [5][24] - The medical R&D outsourcing sector experienced the highest growth, with an increase of 3.69%, while the vaccine sector faced the largest decline, dropping by 3.43% [5][25] - The report also highlights that the clinical CRO sector is expected to see a significant improvement in performance, with companies like Tigermed and Proprius maintaining steady growth in both revenue and orders [23]

行业周报:业绩为王,继续重点推荐创新药产业链板块性机会-20260118 - Reportify