GF SECURITIES·2026-01-18 11:06Core Insights - The report indicates that coal imports in December increased by 12% year-on-year, and the daily consumption of power plants is expected to continue growing [1][85]. Market Dynamics - Coking coal prices have seen significant increases, with the first round of price hikes for coke expected to be implemented next Monday [5][11]. - The CCI 5500 kcal thermal coal index reported at 702 RMB/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 1 RMB/ton [11][86]. - The average daily consumption of coastal power plants was 218,000 tons, with a stock availability of 15.4 days [28]. Industry Outlook - The coal price is expected to maintain stability due to high daily consumption and a potential decrease in production in the first quarter [5][86]. - The overall supply-demand balance in the medium to long term is expected to remain tight, with a potential increase in the price center compared to 2025 [5][86]. - The total profit of the coal mining industry from January to November 2025 was 297 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 47% [5]. Key Companies - Companies with stable profits and dividends include China Shenhua, Yanzhou Coal, Shaanxi Coal, and others [5]. - Companies benefiting from improved demand expectations and supply contraction include Shanxi Coking Coal, Lu'an Environmental Energy, and others [5]. - Companies with long-term growth potential include Huayang Co., New Energy, and others [5]. Recent Focus Areas - Industry policies have remained stable, with stricter safety regulations limiting production [5][88]. - The demand growth rate for coal has generally declined, but December saw a significant increase in coal imports [5][92].