Huaxin Securities·2026-01-18 12:26Core Insights - The report highlights the continuous optimization of the supply-demand structure in the new energy vehicle (NEV) industry, supported by favorable policies and strong demand feedback, leading to a recovery in prices across the industry chain [3][4] - The report maintains a "recommended" rating for the NEV industry, emphasizing the potential for excess returns in sectors such as solid-state batteries, autonomous driving, and battery materials [4] - The lithium price has seen significant increases, with carbonate lithium and hydroxide lithium prices rising by 12.7% and 12.8% respectively, indicating a bullish trend in the industry [5][34] Market Tracking - In December, China's NEV production and sales reached 1.718 million and 1.71 million units respectively, marking year-on-year increases of 12.3% and 7.2% [3][49] - The NEV market accounted for 47.9% of total new car sales in 2025, reflecting a 7 percentage point increase from the previous year [3][49] - The report notes that the NEV index, lithium battery index, and charging pile index have shown positive growth, with respective weekly increases of 1.29%, 1.50%, and 3.16% [5][22] Lithium Battery Industry Price Tracking - The report details that lithium carbonate prices have increased to 157,900 CNY/ton, while lithium hydroxide prices reached 148,900 CNY/ton, both reflecting significant weekly increases [34][37] - The price of phosphoric iron lithium has risen to 52,400 CNY/ton, up 11.3% from the previous week, indicating strong demand in this segment [34][37] - The report also notes stable prices for aluminum-plastic films and separators, with no significant changes observed [37] Industry Dynamics - The report mentions that the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology aims to accelerate breakthroughs in solid-state battery technology and autonomous driving by 2026 [6][67] - Key developments include the launch of L3-level autonomous driving trials by BAIC New Energy and a partnership between Yuanrong Qixing and an international OEM for L3-level technology [6][67] - The report emphasizes the importance of enhancing the self-controllable capabilities of the supply chain and accelerating the development of key technologies in the NEV sector [67] Key Company Announcements - Haopeng Technology forecasts a revenue of 5.7 to 6 billion CNY for 2025, with a net profit increase of 113.69% to 141.09% [71] - The company plans to invest approximately 1.2 billion CNY in solid-state battery production, aiming to capitalize on the growth opportunities in the sector [72] - The report highlights a significant procurement agreement between Rongbai Technology and CATL for the supply of phosphoric iron lithium materials, valued at over 120 billion CNY [72]