情绪与估值1月第2期:成交活跃度上升,创业板指估值领涨
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2026-01-18 12:31

Core Insights - The report indicates an increase in trading activity, with the ChiNext Index leading in valuation growth. The overall market valuation has risen, with the ChiNext Index showing the highest increase [1][4]. Valuation Summary - The report highlights that the PE valuation across various indices has shown mixed results, with the ChiNext Index leading with a 0.9 percentage point increase. The PB valuation also reflects mixed trends, with the CSI 1000 leading with a 2.0 percentage point increase [4][5]. - In terms of industry valuations, the media sector leads in PE valuation, increasing by 1.5 percentage points, while the power and utilities sector leads in PB valuation with a 4.8 percentage point increase [4][5][20]. Market Sentiment - The report notes a rise in trading activity, with turnover rates showing mixed results. The Shanghai 50 Index saw the largest increase in turnover rate at 9.4%. Overall transaction volume increased across all indices, with the ChiNext Index leading with a 30.4% increase [4][31]. - The margin trading balance as of January 15, 2026, reached 2.70 trillion, reflecting a 3.47% increase compared to January 9, 2026. The proportion of financing purchases in total A-share transaction volume was 11.18%, a slight decrease of 0.09 percentage points from the previous week [4][32]. Risk Premium - The report indicates a slight increase in the equity risk premium (ERP), which rose to 3.95% as of January 16, 2026, up by 0.02 percentage points from January 9, 2026 [4][28].

情绪与估值1月第2期:成交活跃度上升,创业板指估值领涨 - Reportify