军工本周观点：聚焦SpaceX及国内火箭产业链：国防军工-20260118

Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong investment rating for the military industry, particularly focusing on the SpaceX supply chain and domestic rocket industry as key investment areas [2][40]. Core Insights - The report highlights the recent decline of the Shenwan Military Industry Index by 4.92% from January 12 to January 16, 2026, while the CSI 300 Index fell by only 0.57%, indicating a relative underperformance of -4.35 percentage points [2][40]. - It emphasizes the importance of focusing on the SpaceX supply chain and domestic rocket industry, which are expected to be the fastest-growing and most inflation-resistant sectors [2][40]. - The report suggests that the SpaceX supply chain is progressing rapidly, with expectations for commercial deployment of Starship and V3 satellites by 2027, leading to significant revenue realization from 2027 to 2030 [3][42]. - The domestic rocket industry is also highlighted as a core area, with plans for breakthroughs in reusable rocket technology and future industry layouts [3][42]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shenwan Military Industry Index has seen an 8.04% increase since 2026, outperforming the CSI 300 Index, which increased by 2.20% [15]. - The report notes that various sub-sectors within the military industry have experienced declines, particularly the aerospace sector, which fell by 10.56% [20][14]. Investment Opportunities - Recommended companies in the SpaceX supply chain include Lens Technology, Yujing Co., and Maiwei Co. [3][42]. - Key domestic rocket industry companies to watch include Feiwo Technology, Western Materials, and Silver Bond Co. [3][42]. - Ground terminal companies such as Shengyang Technology and Haige Communication are also highlighted for their potential high revenue realization [3][42]. Financial Insights - The report indicates a net outflow of 2.629 billion yuan from military ETFs during the week, with a decrease in leveraged fund inflows, suggesting a temporary reduction in market volatility [27][32]. - As of January 16, 2026, the military industry index has a TTM price-to-earnings ratio of 85.05, placing it in the 99.61 percentile historically [45][36].