结构性政策工具降息落地

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained at "Overweight" [7][36] Core Views - The recent structural policy tool interest rate cut aims to stabilize bank funding costs, with a reduction in various relending rates from 1.5% to 1.25% and an increase in the scope and amount of structural tools [6][33] - The total relending quota for supporting agriculture and small enterprises has been increased by 500 billion yuan, with a separate quota of 1 trillion yuan for private enterprises [33] - The relending quota for technological innovation and transformation has been raised by 400 billion yuan to 1.2 trillion yuan, expanding support to private SMEs with high R&D investments [33] - The balance of structural policy tools is expected to be 5.9 trillion yuan by March 2025, with the interest rate cut of 0.25% anticipated to impact commercial banks' funding costs by approximately 0.4 basis points [33] Summary by Sections Market Review - The banking index has decreased by 3.03% from January 12, 2025, to January 18, 2026, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.46 percentage points [11] - The performance of different bank categories shows large banks down by 2.20%, joint-stock banks down by 4.08%, city commercial banks down by 2.40%, and rural commercial banks down by 2.20% [11] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on state-owned banks with stable asset deployment and joint-stock and regional banks with growth potential amid economic recovery [9][36] - Recommended banks include Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Bank of China, CITIC Bank, Jiangsu Bank, Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, and Suzhou Bank [9][36]