Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the real estate sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry despite current challenges [6]. Core Insights - The report highlights a gradual improvement in market expectations due to supportive policies at the beginning of the year, which are expected to stabilize the housing market [2][14]. - Key policy changes include a reduction in the minimum down payment for commercial properties from 50% to 30%, aimed at stimulating market activity [15]. - The extension of tax refund policies for home sales is expected to further support housing demand, with the latest extension pushing the deadline to the end of 2027 [16]. - The report emphasizes the potential for urban renewal projects to unlock housing demand and mitigate risks associated with existing inventory [17]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The real estate market is experiencing a stabilization phase, with both new and second-hand housing markets showing signs of recovery [2]. - Recent data indicates a significant drop in new and second-hand housing transaction volumes, with new homes down by 20.37% year-on-year and second-hand homes down by 18.53% [6]. Policy Analysis - The People's Bank of China has lowered the interest rate for guaranteed housing re-loans to 1.25%, enhancing the feasibility of converting unsold properties into affordable housing [14]. - The report notes that the ongoing tax refund policy for home sales is crucial for maintaining market stability and supporting demand for improved housing [16]. Stock Market and Credit Bonds - The A-share real estate sector underperformed the market, with a decline of 3.52%, while the Hong Kong real estate sector outperformed with a gain of 2.54% [19][32]. - The issuance of real estate credit bonds totaled 100 billion yuan this week, with a net financing amount of -42.55 billion yuan, indicating ongoing challenges in the credit market [39]. REITs Market - The REITs index experienced a slight decline of 0.41%, with the property REITs index down by 0.43% [41]. - The total transaction volume for REITs was 1.288 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 20.24% compared to the previous week [54].