特朗普希望哈塞特留任NEC主席:环球市场动态2026年1月19日
citic securities·2026-01-19 05:21

Market Overview - Chinese markets experienced a pullback after a brief rally, with semiconductor and power equipment sectors performing well[3] - European markets showed high volatility, with the defense sector leading gains despite overall declines[3] - U.S. markets fell as Trump's comments shifted expectations for the next Federal Reserve chair, reducing rate cut expectations[3] Economic Indicators - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield surpassed 4.2%, the highest level since September of the previous year[4] - Trump's announcement of tariffs on eight NATO countries led to rising bond yields in Europe and Japan[4] Federal Reserve Leadership Speculation - Trump expressed a desire for Hassett to remain as NEC chair, impacting market predictions for the next Fed chair, with Warsh now seen as the likely candidate[5] - The market is awaiting the Supreme Court's decision on Trump's dismissal of Fed Governor Cook, which could affect Fed independence[5] Key News Highlights - Trump announced a 10% tariff on goods from Denmark and seven other European countries, increasing to 25% in June if a Greenland acquisition deal is not reached[5] - The U.S. industrial output unexpectedly increased in December, with prior month figures revised upward[5] Stock Market Performance - U.S. indices closed lower, with the Dow down 0.17% to 49,359 points, and the S&P 500 down 0.06% to 6,940 points[9] - In Europe, the FTSE 100 fell 0.04% to 10,235.29 points, while the CAC 40 dropped 0.65% to 8,258.94 points[9] Asian Market Trends - The Taiwan stock market rose 1.9% to 31,408 points, while other Asian markets showed mixed results, with declines in mainland China and Hong Kong[19] - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,844.96 points, down 0.29%[11] Commodity and Currency Movements - Gold and silver prices reached historical highs following Trump's tariff announcements[4] - The U.S. dollar index rose slightly to 99.39, with the dollar against the yuan at 6.970[25] Investment Insights - The semiconductor sector is expected to benefit from strong AI demand, despite challenges in the supply chain[23] - Companies like Ningde Times are facing headwinds from slowing EV sales and rising lithium prices, but their market position remains strong[13]

特朗普希望哈塞特留任NEC主席:环球市场动态2026年1月19日 - Reportify