北美缺电或催生表后供电新模式,电力设备正处于AI驱动大周期
Huafu Securities·2026-01-19 06:09

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report highlights that the electricity shortage in North America may lead to the emergence of a "behind-the-meter" power supply model, driven by the aging US power grid and the need for upgrades, alongside the increasing demand for electricity due to AI infrastructure [1][10][21] - The report emphasizes that the demand for related electrical equipment will grow, particularly in gas turbines, solar storage, SOFCs, transformers, and AIDC equipment, as the power equipment sector is currently in a major cycle driven by AI [1][10][21] Group 2 - The market observation indicates a decrease in the stock-bond yield spread to 0.4%, which is below the +1 standard deviation, suggesting a decline in valuation differentiation [2][35] - Market sentiment has adjusted, with a decrease in industry rotation intensity, indicating a shift in market dynamics [2][36] - The report notes that the average daily trading volume of the Stock Connect increased by 740 billion yuan compared to the previous week, with net inflows of leveraged funds primarily into the electronics, communication, and computer sectors [2][48] Group 3 - The industry configuration suggests a focus on performance fundamentals, with the upcoming annual report disclosures expected to drive market transactions based on fundamental performance [3][63] - The report identifies three key areas with solid fundamental logic worth attention: 1) Electrical equipment, with a projected investment of 4 trillion yuan in China's State Grid during the 14th Five-Year Plan, a 40% increase from the previous plan; 2) Computing power, with TSMC's revenue expected to reach $33.73 billion in Q4 2025, reflecting strong demand for AI computing; 3) Price increase chains in metals, chemicals, and storage sectors showing high prosperity [3][28][64] Group 4 - Industry hotspots include the integration of the Qianwen App with Alibaba's platforms, testing AI shopping functionalities, and the State Grid's announcement of a 4 trillion yuan investment plan for the construction of a new power system [2][59][60] - The report highlights the trend of large tech companies exploring the "behind-the-meter" power supply model to address the electricity demand from AI infrastructure, with legislative proposals allowing AI data centers to bypass federal electricity regulations [10][19][21]

北美缺电或催生表后供电新模式,电力设备正处于AI驱动大周期 - Reportify