消费论坛交流反馈——食品饮料行业周报(20260112-20260118):传统消费龙头探寻新路,成效初显
Huachuang Securities·2026-01-19 07:25

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the food and beverage industry, indicating an expected increase in the industry index exceeding the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [26]. Core Insights - The traditional consumer leaders in the food and beverage sector are exploring new paths, with initial positive results observed. The report highlights the acceleration of white liquor clearance and the catalyzing effect of the peak season for mass-market products [1][13]. - The liquor industry is currently at the bottom of its cycle, with expectations for sales to stabilize over the next three years. The report notes a significant price drop in high-end whiskey (approximately 50%) and a smaller decline in brandy (10-20%) due to decreased demand and a return to reasonable pricing [10]. - In the mass-market segment, companies are actively adjusting strategies, leading to improved performance. Notable companies include Xianle Health, which is leveraging overseas expansion and AI to drive growth, and West Wheat, which is enhancing its competitive advantage through channel expansion [11][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Meeting Feedback: Liquor at Cycle Bottom, Mass-Market Highlights - Liquor is at a cyclical low, with future sales expected to stabilize. The domestic brandy market remains stable, dominated by three major brands [10]. - The mass-market segment shows a divergence in demand, with companies like Xianle and West Wheat continuing to grow, while traditional companies are adjusting to improve performance [11]. 2. Investment Recommendations: Strengthening White Liquor Bottom, Catalyzing Mass-Market Peak Season - The report recommends Moutai and emphasizes the importance of Gujing, anticipating a recovery in demand as the Spring Festival approaches. The report suggests that companies are transitioning from passive responses to proactive adjustments [13]. - In the mass-market segment, the report highlights Anqi as a key recommendation, along with opportunities in restaurant supply chains and snack sectors as the Spring Festival approaches [13].