Huachuang Securities·2026-01-19 10:06Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the automotive industry, indicating an expected increase in the industry index exceeding the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [18]. Core Insights - The recent consensus reached in the China-Europe electric vehicle case is expected to accelerate the export of Chinese automobiles to Europe, enhancing the outlook for electric vehicle exports [1][3]. - The European light vehicle market is projected to reach approximately 17 million units in 2025, with a penetration rate of new energy vehicles around 23% [2]. - The report highlights that the growth of Chinese automobile exports to Europe has been significant, with exports increasing from 1.05 million units in 2020 to a substantial rise in subsequent years, particularly in 2021-2023 [8]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The automotive industry consists of 240 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 506.3 billion yuan and a circulating market value of about 384.7 billion yuan [4]. Market Performance - The absolute performance of the automotive sector shows an increase of 9.7% over one month, 17.2% over six months, and 30.1% over twelve months [5]. Export Dynamics - Chinese exports of automobiles to Europe accounted for about 20% of total exports, with expectations for a resurgence in growth following the implementation of new pricing commitments [3][8]. - The report notes that the growth rate of exports to Europe is anticipated to slow down in 2024-2025 due to the impact of the EU's anti-subsidy investigations, particularly affecting pure electric vehicle exports [8]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the recent agreement on electric vehicle imports between China and Europe, along with favorable conditions in Canada, presents a more secure and stable opportunity for the export of Chinese electric vehicles [8]. - Recommended companies for investment include BYD, Geely Automobile, and Great Wall Motors, with additional attention suggested for Leap Motor, Changan Automobile, SAIC Motor, and Chery Automobile [8].