我国年用电量突破十万亿度，国网“十五五”计划固定资产投资四万亿元

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the utility sector [4] Core Insights - China's annual electricity consumption has surpassed 10 trillion kWh, making it the first country to reach this milestone. The State Grid plans to invest 4 trillion yuan in fixed assets during the 14th Five-Year Plan, a 40% increase from the previous plan. The focus will be on promoting renewable energy installations and enhancing the electricity consumption structure [2][21][23] Summary by Sections 1. National Electricity Consumption - In 2025, China's total electricity consumption reached 10.37 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 5.24%. The growth was primarily driven by the tertiary industry and urban-rural residential electricity use, contributing 50% to the overall increase. Notably, the charging and swapping service industry saw a growth of 48.8% [3][50][21] 2. Weekly Sector Review - From January 12 to January 16, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.45%, while the utility index rose by 0.06%. The performance varied across sub-sectors, with the thermal power sector increasing by 0.35% and the photovoltaic sector rising by 4.14% [29][31] 3. Utility Sector Dynamics 3.1 Electricity Tracking - In January 2026, the average transaction price in Jiangsu was 324.71 yuan/MWh, down 4.38% month-on-month and 19.87% year-on-year. In Shanxi, the average price in December 2025 was 292.07 yuan/MWh, up 1.03% month-on-month but down 7.35% year-on-year [39][41] - The total national electricity generation in November 2025 was approximately 779.2 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 3.96% but a month-on-month decrease of 2.62% [42] 3.2 Water Conditions - As of January 17, 2026, the water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was 170.34 meters, which is normal compared to 168.70 meters in the same period of 2025. The inflow and outflow rates also showed increases of 2.78% and 19.49% year-on-year, respectively [53] 3.3 Coal Price and Inventory Tracking - The CCI index for thermal coal was reported at 704 yuan/ton as of January 14, 2026, reflecting a rise of 10 yuan/ton from January 7. The inventory at Qinhuangdao Port increased to 5.66 million tons as of January 18, 2026 [59][65] 3.4 Natural Gas Price Tracking - The LNG ex-factory price index in China was 3849 yuan/ton as of January 16, 2026, up 0.92% from January 9. The LNG import price was reported at 9.95 USD/million BTU, an increase of 6.08% [69] 4. Investment Recommendations - Short-term focus on waste incineration power generation and resource recovery capabilities, with specific companies highlighted for their growth potential. Long-term investment in stable dividend-paying assets is recommended, particularly in the hydroelectric sector [72]