财信证券晨会纪要-20260120

Market Strategy - The market experienced a volume contraction rebound, with the electric grid equipment sector showing strength [6][7] - The overall market saw a slight increase, with the Wind All A Index rising by 0.41% to 6798.66 points, while the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.29% to 4114 points [6][7] - The electric grid equipment sector is expected to continue its upward trend, supported by a projected fixed asset investment of 4 trillion yuan by the State Grid Corporation during the 14th Five-Year Plan, representing a 40% increase from the previous plan [7][8] Economic Indicators - In 2025, China's total retail sales of consumer goods reached 501.202 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.7% [14] - Fixed asset investment in China decreased by 3.8% year-on-year in 2025, totaling 485.186 billion yuan [16] - The GDP growth for the fourth quarter of 2025 was reported at 4.5% year-on-year, with an annual GDP of 14,018.79 billion yuan, reflecting a 5.0% increase [18] Industry Dynamics - In 2025, the national pig slaughter volume reached 720 million heads, with a total pork production of 5.938 million tons, marking a 4.1% increase [31] - The milk production in China for 2025 was 4.091 million tons, showing a slight growth of 0.3% compared to the previous year [33] - The commercial housing loan down payment ratio has been adjusted to a minimum of 30% [36] Company Updates - Victory Technology announced an expected net profit of 4.16 billion to 4.56 billion yuan for 2025, with a fourth-quarter net profit median of 1.115 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 186.03% [38] - XGIMI Technology disclosed a development notification from a well-known domestic automotive manufacturer, indicating its subsidiary will supply in-car projection products [41] - OCO Group projected a net profit of 96 million to 110 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 67.53% to 91.96% [46]