西部证券晨会纪要-20260120

Group 1: Macroeconomic Overview - The economy achieved a growth rate of 5% in 2025, with significant contributions from external demand [6][8] - The nominal GDP growth rate slowed down, but stabilized in the fourth quarter, with a year-on-year increase of 4.5% [6][8] - Retail sales growth showed a slight recovery, while fixed asset investment saw an expanded decline [7][8] Group 2: Power Equipment Sector - Siyi Electric (002028.SZ) - Siyi Electric reported strong performance in 2025, with total revenue of 21.205 billion yuan, up 37.18% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.163 billion yuan, up 54.35% [10][11] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 3.163 billion, 4.423 billion, and 5.924 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 54.3%, 39.8%, and 33.9% [10][11] - The demand for domestic power grid investment exceeded expectations, with the company winning contracts worth 7.015 billion yuan, an increase of 82% [10] Group 3: Nonferrous Metals Sector - Jincheng (603979.SH) - Jincheng signed three mining contracts with a total estimated value of 1.074 billion yuan, enhancing the certainty of future earnings [13][14] - The company’s resource business saw significant growth, with revenue of 4.57 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, up 131.3% year-on-year [14] - EPS for 2025-2027 is projected to be 3.97, 5.50, and 6.37 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 19, 14, and 12 [14] Group 4: Nonferrous Metals Sector - Northern Rare Earth (600111.SH) - Northern Rare Earth expects a net profit of 2.176-2.356 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 116.67%-134.60% [16][17] - The company’s performance in Q4 2025 is expected to show significant growth due to a sharp increase in rare earth prices [16][17] - The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide rose to 685,000 yuan per ton, a year-on-year increase of 62.71% [16] Group 5: Nonferrous Metals Sector - Luoyang Molybdenum (603993.SH) - Luoyang Molybdenum forecasts a net profit of 20-20.8 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 47.80%-53.71% [19][20] - The company achieved a copper production of 741,100 tons, exceeding its production plan [19] - The dual-core strategy focusing on copper and gold is expected to drive future growth, with significant acquisitions planned [20]