HTSC·2026-01-20 02:45Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction and building materials sectors [6]. Core Insights - The report highlights a focus on balancing investments in emerging growth sectors and traditional dividend-paying sectors, anticipating a recovery in investment in early 2026, particularly in infrastructure and real estate [1]. - It emphasizes the potential for a spring rally in the market, driven by supportive real estate policies and opportunities in technology and overseas markets, particularly in AI applications and related materials [1]. - The report suggests that the construction and building materials sectors are under pressure, with significant declines in real estate sales and new construction, but sees potential in segments like building coatings and pipe materials due to a shift towards renovation in the existing housing market [2]. Summary by Sections Infrastructure and Real Estate Investment - In 2025, cumulative year-on-year investment in infrastructure (excluding power, heat, gas, and water supply) decreased by 2.2%, real estate by 17.2%, and manufacturing by 0.6% [1]. - The report notes a continued decline in real estate transactions, with a year-on-year decrease of 8.7% in sales area and a 20.4% drop in new construction area [2]. Cement Industry - The cement production in 2025 was 1.693 billion tons, down 6.9% year-on-year, with an average price of 360 RMB per ton in December, reflecting a 15.6% decrease year-on-year [3]. - The report indicates that the pressure on costs is easing due to increased efforts in staggered kiln shutdowns, leading to a slowdown in price declines [3]. Glass Industry - The flat glass production in 2025 was 976 million weight cases, down 3.0% year-on-year, with a significant price drop of 20.9% year-on-year [4]. - The report notes an acceleration in cold repairs in the glass industry, which is expected to stabilize prices [4]. Stock Recommendations - The report recommends several stocks with "Buy" ratings, including: - Yaxiang Integration (603929 CH) with a target price of 235.62 RMB - China National Materials (600970 CH) with a target price of 14.64 RMB - Sichuan Road and Bridge (600039 CH) with a target price of 13.48 RMB - Precision Steel Structure (600496 CH) with a target price of 5.75 RMB - Oriental Yuhong (002271 CH) with a target price of 17.19 RMB - Kaisheng Technology (600552 CH) with a target price of 16.94 RMB - China Jushi (600176 CH) with a target price of 20.80 RMB - Huaxin Cement (600801 CH) with a target price of 26.70 RMB - China Nuclear Engineering (601611 CH) with a target price of 18.21 RMB [8][29].