宏观金融数据日报-20260120

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - The central bank's rate cuts and policy adjustments aim to support economic structural transformation and optimization [4] - In 2025, the domestic economy showed a "high - front, low - back" trend, and in 2026, the economic growth pressure in the first half of the year is relatively large, so there is a need for policies to be implemented earlier [6] - The upward trend of stock indices is expected to continue as the current capital - driven force is strong and the domestic fundamentals are in the bottom - building stage, and long - term bulls can choose the right time to enter the market [6] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro - financial Data - Interest Rates: DRO01 closed at 1.32 with a - 0.17bp change, DR007 at 1.48 with a 3.42bp change, etc. The 10 - year US Treasury yield rose 7.00bp to 4.24 [3] - Central Bank Operations: The central bank conducted 1793 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with 99 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net injection of 1694 billion yuan [3] - Stock Index Futures: IF当月 closed at 4733 with a 0.1% change, IH当月 at 3076 with a - 0.1% change, etc. Trading volumes of IF, IH, IC, and IM decreased by 22.2, 28.5, 11.3, and 14.8 respectively, while IC and IM's open interest increased by 2.0% and 0.3% respectively [5] - Stock Indices: The Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 rose 0.05% to 4734.5, the Shanghai 50 fell 0.12% to 3075.9, etc. The trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 27325 billion yuan, a significant decrease of 3243 billion yuan from the previous trading day [5] - GDP Data: The annual GDP in 2025 was 1401879 billion yuan, a 5.0% increase year - on - year. The Q4 GDP increased 4.5% year - on - year, 0.3 percentage points slower than Q3 [6] 3.2 Policy Hot - Comments - The central bank cut the interest rates of various structural monetary policy tools by 0.25 percentage points, adjusted the re - loan interest rates, and increased the quota of agricultural and small - business re - loans by 5000 billion yuan, with a 10000 - billion - yuan special quota for private enterprises [4] 3.3 Stock Index Futures Basis - The basis rates of IF, IH, IC, and IM for different contracts are presented, such as IF's basis rate for the current - month contract is 0.40%, etc. [7]