12月经济数据点评：基本面延续偏弱，通胀回升是亮点

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that while the overall economic performance remains weak, the rebound in inflation is a notable highlight [3][10] - In 2025, China's GDP growth rate reached 5%, aligning with market expectations, but the economy still faces constraints due to insufficient domestic demand and external disturbances [3][4] - The report highlights a significant decline in fixed asset investment, particularly in real estate, which saw a year-on-year decrease of 17.2% [3][12] Group 2 - December 2025 saw a year-on-year increase in CPI to 0.8%, driven primarily by rising food prices, with core CPI remaining stable at 1.2% [3][10] - Industrial added value in December 2025 showed a cumulative year-on-year growth of 5.9%, reflecting a decline of 0.1 percentage points from November [3][6] - The report notes that consumer spending continues to decline, particularly in automotive sales and dining, with retail sales growth down to 3.7% year-on-year [3][25][27] Group 3 - The report emphasizes that the economic fundamentals are continuing to weaken, with investment growth and consumer spending accelerating downwards [3] - The bond market experienced significant adjustments, with large banks and insurance institutions increasing their net purchases of 10Y government bonds and secondary capital bonds [3] - The report suggests a strategy of maintaining a combination of medium to short-term credit bonds and long-term interest rate bonds to manage duration effectively [3]