新股覆盖研究：农大科技

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy," indicating an expected relative increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months compared to the relevant market index [34]. Core Insights - The company, Nongda Technology, specializes in the research, production, and sales of new fertilizers and their intermediates, leveraging proprietary technologies such as humic acid activation and controlled-release technology [7][16]. - The company has shown significant revenue growth in recent years, with projected revenues of 2.676 billion CNY in 2022, 2.637 billion CNY in 2023, and 2.363 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 50.56%, -1.43%, and -10.40% respectively [8][4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 101 million CNY in 2022 to 145 million CNY in 2024, with a year-over-year growth of -20.75%, 0.06%, and 43.53% respectively [8][4]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for new fertilizers, which are essential for sustainable agricultural practices, as the composite fertilizer usage rate in China is only 47.81%, significantly lower than the 80% in developed agricultural countries [25][27]. Summary by Sections Basic Financial Status - The company achieved revenues of 2.676 billion CNY in 2022, 2.637 billion CNY in 2023, and 2.363 billion CNY in 2024, with corresponding year-over-year growth rates of 50.56%, -1.43%, and -10.40% [8][4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 101 million CNY in 2022, remaining the same in 2023, and increasing to 145 million CNY in 2024, with year-over-year growth rates of -20.75%, 0.06%, and 43.53% [8][4]. Industry Situation - The new fertilizer industry is crucial for agricultural production, with the market size in China expected to grow from 3,072.32 billion CNY in 2023 to 3,191 billion CNY by 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 1.8% [17][19]. - The demand for new fertilizers is projected to increase due to the rising population and the need for sustainable agricultural practices, with the consumption of new fertilizers expected to grow at an annual rate of 9% over the next five years [20][24]. Company Highlights - The company has developed a strong market position in humic acid-based fertilizers and controlled-release urea, with production volumes ranking first in the industry for the years 2020-2022 [28]. - The company benefits from its strategic location in the Huanghuaihai region, which is vital for national food security and has a large user base due to its proximity to major agricultural provinces [28]. - The company plans to invest in three projects through its IPO, including a 300,000-ton intelligent high-tower compound fertilizer project, a 150,000-ton bio-fertilizer production line, and an environmental low-carbon biological research center [29][30].