汽车行业月报：乘商协同引领行业向上，2025年汽车产销续写新高

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market" for the automotive industry [5] Core Insights - The automotive industry in China is expected to achieve record production and sales in 2025, driven by policies encouraging vehicle trade-ins and the release of new models [5] - The passenger vehicle market is experiencing steady growth, with production and sales surpassing 30 million units in 2025, and domestic brands capturing nearly 70% of the market share [5] - The commercial vehicle market is recovering, with production and sales exceeding 4 million units, particularly in the new energy heavy truck segment, which has seen significant growth [5] - New energy vehicles (NEVs) are rapidly increasing in production and sales, achieving a market share of 47.9% in 2025, with domestic sales surpassing 50% [5] - The report highlights two main investment themes: the acceleration of L3 autonomous driving technology and the transition of automotive technology towards robotics and liquid cooling systems [5] Industry Performance Review - As of January 20, 2026, the automotive (CITIC) industry index rose by 4.07%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.15 percentage points [10] - Over 75% of automotive stocks increased in value during the same period, with notable performers including Jiaoyun Co., Saifu Technology, and Siliang Zhichui [16] - The automotive sector's PE (TTM) ratio stands at 34.4 times, placing it in the 46th percentile over the past five years [19] Key Data Tracking - In 2025, the total production and sales of automobiles reached 34.53 million and 34.40 million units, respectively, marking year-on-year increases of 10.4% and 9.4% [27] - The passenger vehicle segment produced and sold 30.27 million and 30.10 million units, reflecting growth rates of 10.2% and 9.2% year-on-year [41] - The commercial vehicle sector saw production and sales of 4.26 million and 4.30 million units, with year-on-year growth of 12% and 10.9% [56] - NEVs achieved production and sales of 16.63 million and 16.49 million units, with year-on-year growth of 29% and 28.2% [67] Important Industry Company News - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with other departments, held a meeting to discuss the competitive order in the NEV industry, emphasizing the need for fair competition and quality [87] - The Ministry of Commerce reported that over 1.15 million vehicles were traded in under the vehicle replacement program in 2025, contributing significantly to consumer spending [88] - Geely Auto received a license for L3 autonomous driving road tests, marking a significant step in the commercialization of advanced driving technologies [88]