资讯早间报：隔夜夜盘市场走势-20260121

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report comprehensively presents the overnight market trends of international futures, important domestic and foreign macro - economic information, financial market conditions including stocks, bonds, and foreign exchange, and upcoming events and data announcements. It reflects the complex and dynamic nature of the global financial and economic situation, with various factors such as policy changes, geopolitical risks, and supply - demand relationships influencing different markets. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Overnight Night - Market Trends - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 1.98% at $4769.10 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 0.19% at $94.46 per ounce [4]. - The main contract of US crude oil rose 0.15% to $59.52 per barrel, while the main contract of Brent crude oil fell 0.06% to $63.9 per barrel. Most London base metals declined, except for tin which rose [5]. Important Information Macroeconomic Information - The People's Bank of China kept the one - year and five - year loan prime rates (LPR) unchanged at 3% and 3.5% respectively for eight consecutive months [8]. - China's National Development and Reform Commission will formulate an implementation plan for the domestic demand expansion strategy from 2026 - 2030 [8]. - In 2026, China's Ministry of Finance will continue to implement a more proactive fiscal policy [8]. - US Commerce Secretary said high interest rates are a problem and a 100 - basis - point rate cut could boost economic growth to 6% or higher [9]. Energy and Chemical Futures - On January 20, 24:00, domestic refined oil prices were raised for the first time in 2026, with gasoline and diesel prices increasing by 85 yuan per ton [11]. - Qinghai Province reduced the potassium chloride production capacity of Golmud Zangge Potassium Fertilizer Co., Ltd. from 2 million tons to 1.2 million tons [11]. - China's imports of natural and synthetic rubber in December 2025 increased both month - on - month and year - on - year [12]. Metal Futures - In December, China's lithium carbonate imports increased month - on - month but decreased year - on - year. The cumulative imports from January to December increased slightly [14]. - The Shanghai Futures Exchange and the Shanghai International Energy Trading Center adjusted the trading margin ratios and price limit ranges of multiple metal futures contracts [14][15]. - Shanghai released a plan to enhance the level of non - ferrous metal commodities, including opening up more futures and options varieties and exploring cross - border delivery mechanisms [15]. - Poland's central bank plans to purchase up to 150 tons of gold to increase its gold reserves to 700 tons [16]. - Rio Tinto's aluminum and copper production in 2025 exceeded the guidance range [16]. Black - Series Futures - BHP's Pilbara iron ore production and sales in the fourth quarter of 2025 increased both month - on - month and year - on - year, and its 2026 fiscal year production guidance remained unchanged [18]. - Some areas in Henan Province launched a heavy - pollution weather orange alert [18]. - China's crude steel production decreased in December 2025 and for the whole year of 2025 [18]. - The first batch of 200,000 tons of high - grade iron ore from Guinea's Simandou project arrived in China, and the project is expected to export 18 million tons in 2026 [19][20]. Agricultural Product Futures - As of January 17, the average operating rate of domestic oil mills decreased, and the total soybean crushing volume decreased [22]. - Malaysia's palm oil exports from January 1 - 20 increased, according to different survey institutions [23][24]. - Brazil's expected exports of soybeans, corn, and other agricultural products in January increased [24]. - The US soybean export inspection volume decreased in the week ending January 15 [24]. Financial Market Finance - On Tuesday, the A - share market adjusted, with a style shift from high - valuation growth sectors to value sectors. The trading volume increased [27]. - The Hong Kong stock market continued to adjust, with technology stocks leading the decline. Southbound funds had net purchases [27]. - More than 500 A - share companies disclosed their 2025 performance pre - announcements, with some sectors performing well and others under pressure [27]. - In 2025, the quantitative index - enhancement strategy in the A - share market was outstanding, and the average return of related products was 45.08% [28]. - Goldman Sachs expects China's stock market growth in 2026 to be driven by corporate earnings, with a significant acceleration in profit growth [28]. Industry - During the 14th Five - Year Plan period, China aims to improve water - saving efficiency and expand the water - saving industry [30]. - China adjusted the rules of lottery games, with a new cap on the total first - prize payout [30]. - Domestic refined oil prices were raised for the first time in 2026 [30]. - The National Medical Insurance Administration issued a guide for price setting of medical innovation achievements [30]. - Beijing announced its 2026 construction land supply plan [31]. - Guangzhou is promoting housing renovation legislation and has a large - scale urban village renovation investment plan [31]. - The global AI server shipments are expected to grow by more than 28% in 2026 [31]. - The Chinese U23 men's football team advanced to the final of the Asian Cup [32]. Overseas - US President Trump mentioned alternative measures for tariffs if the current ones are restricted [33]. - The US Treasury Secretary said Trump is close to nominating the next Fed Chairman [33]. - The European Parliament froze the approval process of a trade agreement with the US [33]. - Trump threatened to impose high tariffs on French wine and champagne [34]. - Canada simulated a US military invasion [34]. - South Korea will postpone a large - scale US investment plan due to currency pressure [36]. International Stock Markets - US major stock indexes fell, with market risk - aversion rising due to Trump's remarks on tariffs and Greenland [37]. - European major stock indexes closed lower, affected by US policy uncertainty, weak economic data, and geopolitical risks [37]. - Most Asian - Pacific stock indexes declined, with different reasons for each market [38]. - FTSE Russell is considering lowering the free - float ratio requirement for foreign - registered companies in London [38]. - South Korea's stock exchange CEO expects the Korean stock market to continue rising [38]. - South Korea's government will provide tax incentives for domestic reinvestment of overseas stock sale proceeds [40]. - Netflix changed the payment terms for its acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery's business to all - cash [40]. - AstraZeneca will transfer its listing from NASDAQ to the New York Stock Exchange [41]. Commodities - The domestic commodity futures market had mixed results, with lithium carbonate hitting the daily limit and some metals showing significant price movements [42]. - Shanghai released measures to enhance the influence of non - ferrous metal commodities [42]. - The Shanghai Futures Exchange and Shanghai International Energy Trading Center adjusted margin ratios and price limits of metal futures [42]. - International precious metal prices rose, driven by risk - aversion and policy expectations [42]. - Oil prices had mixed performance, with supply expectations affecting the market [44]. - Most London base metals declined, except for tin [44]. - The LME copper spot price soared, indicating potential high demand for physical delivery [44]. - Poland's central bank plans to buy gold [45]. Bonds - China's bond market showed positive signs, with yields of some bonds falling [45]. - US bond yields rose across the board [45]. - Japan's finance minister tried to calm the bond market [47]. Foreign Exchange - The on - shore and offshore RMB exchange rates against the US dollar rose, and the RMB central parity rate was also adjusted upwards [48]. - The US dollar index fell, and most non - US currencies rose [48]. Upcoming Data and Events - There are multiple important economic data announcements from the UK and the US at different times on January 21 [50]. - There are various events including central bank operations, press conferences, and international forums on January 21 and the following days [52].