纸浆数据日报-20260121

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content. 2. Core View - The paper pulp market continues to show an inventory accumulation trend this cycle. The inventory of the mainstream domestic paper pulp port, Qingdao Port, shows a narrow - range inventory accumulation trend, and the daily average shipment speed in the port has increased compared with the previous cycle. Recently, the concentrated registration of paper pulp futures warrants limits the further upward space, and the price of broad - leaf pulp has slightly loosened. It is advisable to consider short - selling after a rebound [5][6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price Data - Futures prices: On January 20, 2026, SP2601 was 5550 yuan/ton, up 0.25% day - on - day and 2.36% week - on - week; SP2609 was 5410 yuan/ton, up 0.19% day - on - day and down 2.35% week - on - week; SP2605 was 5376 yuan/ton, up 0.26% day - on - day and down 2.11% week - on - week [5]. - Spot prices: Coniferous pulp Silver Star was 5600 yuan/ton, up 2.75% day - on - day and 0.90% week - on - week; Coniferous pulp Russian Needle was 5250 yuan/ton, with no day - on - day change and down 1.87% week - on - week; Broad - leaf pulp Goldfish was 4650 yuan/ton, down 1.06% day - on - day and 2.11% week - on - week [5]. - Outer - disk quotes: Chilean Silver Star was 700 dollars/ton, up 2.94% month - on - month; Brazilian Goldfish was 540 dollars/ton, up 1.89% month - on - month; Chilean Venus was 620 dollars/ton, with no month - on - month change [5]. - Import costs: Chilean Silver Star was 5721 yuan/ton, up 2.91% month - on - month; Brazilian Goldfish was 4425 yuan/ton, up 1.87% month - on - month; Chilean Venus was 5073 yuan/ton, with no month - on - month change [5]. Supply Data - Import volume: In December 2025, the import volume of coniferous pulp was 77.8 tons, up 7.31% month - on - month; the import volume of broad - leaf pulp was 135.2 tons, down 23.40% month - on - month [5]. - Domestic output: As of January 15, 2026, the domestic output of broad - leaf pulp was 25.2 tons, and the domestic output of chemimechanical pulp was 23.7 tons [5]. - Supply - side news: Chile's Arauco Company's January coniferous pulp offer was 710 dollars/ton, up 10 dollars/ton; broad - leaf pulp Star was quoted at 590 dollars/ton, up 20 dollars/ton; unbleached pulp Venus was quoted at 620 dollars/ton, unchanged [5]. Inventory Data - Paper pulp port inventory: As of January 15, 2026, the inventory of mainstream Chinese paper pulp ports was 201.4 tons, up 0.7 tons from the previous period, a 0.3% month - on - month increase [5]. - Futures delivery warehouse inventory: As of January 15, 2026, the inventory was 14.9 tons [5]. Demand Data - Finished paper output: On January 15, 2026, the output of offset paper was 20.30 tons, coated paper was 8.30 tons, tissue paper was 29.30 tons, and white cardboard was 38.40 tons [5]. - Demand - side situation: The demand side of paper pulp has been stable recently. The price of tissue paper has increased slightly, while the prices of other paper products have been stable. The output of major wood - pulp paper products has been stable [5].