星辰大海:马斯克六大产业链映射
Huachuang Securities·2026-01-21 10:07

Group 1: Commercial Space Industry - SpaceX - SpaceX is reshaping the cost structure of space launches through reusable rocket technology, with a potential IPO in 2026 valued at $1.5 trillion, aiming to raise over $30 billion [20] - In 2023, SpaceX achieved breakeven, with projected revenue of $15.5 billion in 2025, and plans to produce 10,000 Starship spacecraft annually, boosting its supply chain [20] Group 2: Autonomous Driving - Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology is transitioning from an assistive tool to a reliable autonomous workforce, with the Robotaxi fleet expected to grow from 200 vehicles in 2025 to 1,000 in 2026 [2] - The commercialization of autonomous driving is accelerating as the industry approaches a critical inflection point [2] Group 3: Robotics - The third generation of Tesla's Optimus robot is set to be released in Q1 2026, with mass production expected by the end of the year, presenting significant growth opportunities for core suppliers [3] Group 4: Artificial Intelligence - xAI completed a Series E funding round in January, raising $20 billion from major investors like NVIDIA and Cisco, and is a crucial part of Musk's cross-industry collaborative network [4] - xAI leverages real-time data from social media and Tesla to train large models, with potential support from SpaceX's Starlink for computational needs, creating a closed-loop ecosystem [4] Group 5: Brain-Computer Interface - Neuralink plans to begin large-scale production of brain-computer interface devices within the year, focusing on simplifying surgical procedures to lower application barriers [5] Group 6: Underground Tunnel Network - The Boring Company aims to alleviate urban traffic congestion by constructing extensive underground tunnel networks, reducing construction costs and time, and promoting the development of underground transportation systems [6]