泡泡玛特：发布股份回购公告，经营高景气度持续

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company has announced a share buyback plan, spending HKD 251 million to repurchase 1.4 million shares at a price range of HKD 177.7 to 181.2 per share [1] - The domestic market is experiencing upward momentum, with a large and sticky user base, and a diversified IP matrix maintaining its popularity [2] - The company is actively adjusting its supply and production to stabilize the second-hand market prices, which is beneficial for long-term brand value and user base expansion [2] - The overseas market presents significant potential, with many global markets still in the early stages of development and a strong certainty for future channel expansion [2] - The company is focusing on resolving supply chain and logistics issues before prioritizing IP product layout for better long-term overseas development [2] Financial Projections - The projected net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is expected to be CNY 135.1 billion, CNY 179.0 billion, and CNY 216.1 billion respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18.0X, 13.6X, and 11.3X [3] - The company's revenue is forecasted to grow significantly, with expected revenues of CNY 38.891 billion in 2025, CNY 50.835 billion in 2026, and CNY 61.142 billion in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 198%, 31%, and 20% respectively [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from CNY 10.07 in 2025 to CNY 16.11 in 2027 [5] Key Financial Metrics - The company's operating income is expected to reach CNY 13,038 million in 2024, with a growth rate of 107% [5] - The gross margin is projected to be 66.79% in 2024, increasing to 78.24% by 2027 [8] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 29.26% in 2024, decreasing to 41.85% by 2027 [8]