HTSC·2026-01-21 12:33Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 109.21 [1][10]. Core Views - The report highlights that despite short-term fluctuations, the company remains a leader in the industry. The main brand experienced a slight decline in revenue, while other brands, particularly FILA, showed positive growth. The overall strategy focuses on a multi-brand approach and global expansion, with expectations for continued double-digit growth in overall revenue [6][10]. Summary by Sections Operational Performance - In Q4 2025, the main brand's revenue saw a low single-digit negative growth, while FILA achieved a mid-single-digit positive growth. Other brands experienced a revenue increase of 35-40%. External factors such as a warm winter and the timing of the Spring Festival impacted the main brand's performance [6][7]. - The overall inventory turnover ratio remains healthy, and the company is expected to continue its multi-brand strategy, enhancing product development and sports resource acquisition [6][10]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2024: RMB 70,826 million - 2025E: RMB 77,953 million (+10.06%) - 2026E: RMB 85,110 million (+9.18%) - 2027E: RMB 92,865 million (+9.11%) [5]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be: - 2024: RMB 15,596 million - 2025E: RMB 13,021 million (-16.51%) - 2026E: RMB 14,011 million (+7.60%) - 2027E: RMB 15,495 million (+10.59%) [5]. Valuation Metrics - The report adjusts the target price to HKD 109.2, reflecting a 20x PE for 2026E, down from a previous target of HKD 115.24. The adjusted target price corresponds to a PE of 23.2x for 2025E [10]. - Key valuation ratios include: - PE for 2026E: 14.87 - PB for 2026E: 2.52 - Dividend yield for 2026E: 3.46% [5][10].