12月宏观数据点评：旧动能收缩，新动能暂未能支撑宏观增长

Economic Growth - In Q4 2025, GDP growth was 4.5%, with an annual GDP of 14,018.79 billion yuan, achieving a target growth of around 5%[12] - The contribution to GDP growth from final consumption expenditure was 2.6%, while net exports contributed 1.64%[12] Industrial Production - In December, industrial added value grew by 5.2% year-on-year, with an annual growth of 5.9%[16] - High-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing saw added value growth of 9.4% and 9.2%, respectively, exceeding the overall industrial growth by 3.5 and 3.3 percentage points[16] Fixed Asset Investment - National fixed asset investment in 2025 was 485,186 billion yuan, down 3.8% year-on-year, with private investment declining by 6.4%[19] - Infrastructure investment fell by 1.48%, marking the worst performance in a decade, while manufacturing investment saw a slight increase of 0.6%[19] Real Estate Market - Real estate development investment in 2025 decreased by 17.2%, the largest decline since the pandemic, with new construction area down by 20.4%[33] - New residential sales area fell by 8.7%, and sales revenue dropped by 12.6% year-on-year[33] Consumer Spending - In December, retail sales of consumer goods grew by only 0.9%, the lowest monthly increase of the year, with an annual growth of 3.7%[49] - Retail sales excluding automobiles increased by 4.4%, while online retail sales of physical goods rose by 5.2%[49] Price Trends - In December, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.8% year-on-year, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 2.6% for the year[54] - Food prices significantly contributed to the CPI increase, with fresh fruit prices recovering to a year-on-year growth of 4.4% in December[57]