第一创业晨会纪要-20260122
First Capital Securities·2026-01-22 07:26

Group 1: Company Performance - Demingli (001309.SZ) expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 650 million to 800 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 85.42% to 128.21%. The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be 630 million to 780 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 108.13% to 157.68%. The fourth quarter net profit is estimated at 750 million yuan, showing over 11 times growth year-on-year. The rapid increase in storage prices since the fourth quarter is expected to continue driving high growth in the first half of the year [2] - Jin'an Guoji (002636) forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders of 280 million to 360 million yuan for 2025, indicating a year-on-year increase of 655.53% to 871.40%. The net profit after excluding non-recurring items is expected to be 250 million to 320 million yuan, with a projected year-on-year growth of 4.5 times. The fourth quarter net profit is anticipated to be 135 million yuan, reflecting over 3.8 times growth year-on-year and nearly 1 time growth quarter-on-quarter. The price increase of ordinary copper-clad laminates is expected to cover the rise in upstream raw material costs, supporting continued growth in performance [3] Group 2: Industry Insights - In the advanced manufacturing sector, the domestic power battery installation volume is expected to redistribute in 2025. CATL leads with 333.57 GWh, capturing 43.42% market share, while BYD follows with 165.77 GWh and 21.58% market share. Both companies together hold 65% of the market, but their market shares have decreased by 1.67% and 3.17%, respectively. This shift reflects structural changes in the industry during rapid expansion, with second-tier manufacturers catching up in key performance indicators [6] - He Sheng New Materials anticipates a net profit of 152 million to 171 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 55% to 75%. The growth is driven by the home appliance appearance composite materials business, with no plans for expansion but rather a focus on supply chain management and cost reduction. The company is also making strides in AI chip development, with significant commercial progress expected in 2026 [8]

第一创业晨会纪要-20260122 - Reportify