东吴证券晨会纪要2026-01-23-20260123

Macro Strategy - The report highlights the investment value of the Guangfa CSI Media ETF (512980.SH), which is closely tracking the CSI Media Index (399971.SZ) and has a management fee of 0.5% per year and a custody fee of 0.1% per year [10] - As of January 16, 2026, the ETF has a circulation scale of 10.759 billion yuan, leading in scale and liquidity, with an annualized return of 29.47% and a volatility ratio of 0.89, indicating reasonable risk control [10] - The underlying index focuses on AI applications, with a high weight of GEO concept stocks, including major companies like BlueFocus and Rock Mountain Technology, which account for 31.43% of the index [10] - The report notes that the media sector is experiencing a bull market driven by AI technology transformation and the assetization of data elements, contrasting with the previous bull market driven by mobile internet traffic [10] Company Analysis Kangning Jereh Pharmaceutical-B (09966.HK) - The company is expected to have total revenues of 414 million yuan and 471 million yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 563 million yuan [6] - The net profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been adjusted down to -115 million yuan and -97 million yuan, respectively, due to increased R&D expenses [6] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating as it anticipates a gradual reduction in losses with the upcoming domestic launch of product KN026 and the submission of JSKN003 for listing [6] Fuan Energy (002911) - The company reported a net profit of 1 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 17.3%, driven by strong growth in its energy and chemical business [17] - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 has been raised to 1 billion, 1.07 billion, and 1.12 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting a growth of 17.3%, 7.0%, and 4.4% [17] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating, supported by a stable natural gas business and diversified growth strategies [17] Huace Testing (300012) - The company expects a net profit of 1.01-1.02 billion yuan for 2025, with a growth rate of 10%-11%, and a strong performance in Q4 with a net profit increase of 15%-20% [18] - The report emphasizes the company's strategic focus on traditional markets and emerging sectors, which is expected to drive growth [19] - The company maintains an "Overweight" rating, with adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 1.02 billion, 1.16 billion, and 1.29 billion yuan [19] Tianfu Communication (300394) - The company forecasts a net profit of 1.88-2.15 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 40%-60% [20] - The growth is attributed to the acceleration of the AI industry and global data center construction, which has driven demand for high-speed optical devices [20] - The company is positioned to benefit from the upcoming commercial launch of its 1.6T optical engine products [20]