冠通期货资讯早间报-20260123

1. Reported Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report presents a comprehensive overview of overnight market trends across various sectors including precious metals, energy, base metals, and financial markets. It also covers important macro - economic news and industry - specific developments, which can help investors understand the current market situation and potential investment opportunities [3][7][28] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Overnight Night - Market Trends - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 2.09% at $4938.40 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 3.86% at $96.22 per ounce [4] - US crude oil and Brent crude oil futures declined, with US crude down 1.57% at $59.67 per barrel and Brent down 1.39% at $63.63 per barrel [5] - London base metals all increased, with LME tin up 2.42% at $52660 per ton, LME zinc up 1.81% at $3233 per ton, etc. [5] Important Information Macro - Information - China's central bank will continue a moderately loose monetary policy in 2026, with room for reserve - requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts. A 900 - billion - yuan MLF operation will be carried out on January 23, 2026 [8] - US President Trump threatened "major retaliatory measures" if European countries sell US assets due to his tariff threats. The US House of Representatives passed a 2026 fiscal - year appropriation bill, and Trump plans to impose a 25% tariff on countries trading with Iran [8][9] Energy and Chemical Futures - Singapore's fuel oil inventory dropped to a 13 - week low, while light and medium distillate inventories reached multi - week highs. National float - glass sample enterprises' inventory increased slightly, and the theoretical profit of soda ash production improved [12] - East - China port methanol inventory decreased, and Dubai set the official premium of April - loading Dubai crude oil [13] Metal Futures - Goldman Sachs raised its year - end gold price forecast to $5400 per ounce due to strong demand from private investors and central banks [15] - China's alumina and electrolytic aluminum production showed year - on - year growth in 2025. A mining accident occurred in Guinea, and Japanese copper smelters are negotiating TC/RC fees [15][17] Black - Series Futures - Steel social inventory in 21 cities decreased slightly in mid - January. An Australian iron - ore producer increased production and shipments and raised its 2026 shipping target [20] - Rebar production and mill inventory increased, and social inventory rose for the third week. Some coal mines resumed production, and manganese - ore production and sales had different trends [22] Agricultural Product Futures - China will consider Canada's reasonable demands on rapeseed trade through dialogue. Brazilian port sugar - waiting - to - ship volume increased, and the US exported soybeans. Brazil's soybean production, export, and crushing are expected to increase in 2026 [25][27] Financial Markets Financial - A - shares and Hong Kong stocks had narrow - range fluctuations. Alibaba plans to restructure its chip unit "PingTouGe" for potential independent listing. Blue Arrow Aerospace's IPO entered the inquiry stage, and Yuanqi Forest denied an IPO plan [29][31][33] Industry - Market regulators prohibited a utility - industry merger. Nine departments promoted the high - quality development of the pharmaceutical retail industry, and relevant food - safety standards and policies are in the works [33] - China's smart - device manufacturing sales increased in 2025. The second - hand housing market in some areas showed a warming trend, and new breakthroughs were made in refrigeration technology [34] Overseas - Trump advanced a Greenland deal and threatened retaliation against Europe. The US tried to subvert the Cuban regime. US GDP growth was strong in Q3 2025 [35] - Japan had a trade deficit in 2025, and the Bank of Japan may take a hawkish stance. South Korea's GDP growth slowed in 2025, and it implemented an AI law [36][37] International Stock Markets - US, European, and most Asian stock markets rose. US economic data and reduced trade concerns boosted market confidence, and European trade - tension relief led to a tech - stock rebound [38] Commodities - Goldman Sachs raised its gold - price forecast. Precious metals rose due to various factors, while crude oil declined on inventory concerns. Base metals all increased [41][42] Bonds - Domestic bond markets were slightly weak, and US bond yields mostly rose [44] Foreign Exchange - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose slightly, and the RMB's global payment share decreased in December 2025. The US dollar index declined [45] Upcoming Events - There will be RMB 86.7 billion in reverse - repurchase maturities in China's central - bank open market. Multiple press conferences and symposiums are scheduled, including those by the Japanese and British central banks [48]