Changjiang Securities·2026-01-23 02:33Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the space photovoltaic industry [3]. Core Insights - The space photovoltaic market is projected to reach a trillion-dollar scale, driven by the increasing demand from low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites and advancements in photovoltaic technology [8][41]. - The report highlights the transition from traditional gallium arsenide (GaAs) solar cells to silicon and perovskite technologies, indicating a shift towards cost-effective solutions in space applications [55][64]. Summary by Sections 1. Growth Drivers - The demand for space photovoltaics is significantly driven by communication and computing satellites, with LEO satellites becoming the mainstream development direction due to their lower costs and shorter development cycles [12]. - The Starlink project is expected to generate substantial revenue, with predictions of over 9 million customers by 2025, covering more than 155 countries [17]. 2. Technology Trends - GaAs multi-junction solar cells are currently the mainstream technology for space applications, achieving efficiencies over 30% [45]. - The report anticipates that silicon will become the next-generation technology, while perovskite is expected to emerge as the ultimate solution due to its high power-to-weight ratio and lower production costs [64]. 3. Material Innovations - The satellite power system consists of three main components: power generation units (solar wings), energy storage units (lithium-ion batteries), and control units [71]. - Flexible solar wings are gaining traction, with advancements in materials leading to the development of ultra-thin glass (UTG) and polyimide (PI) films for better performance in harsh space environments [81][84]. 4. Market Potential - The report estimates that the market space for low Earth orbit satellite photovoltaic systems could reach 275 billion yuan, while the market for space computing could exceed 1 trillion yuan by 2030 [41]. - The anticipated peak in satellite launches from 2030 to 2035 is expected to further drive the demand for space photovoltaics, with projections indicating over 18,000 satellites launched annually [23]. 5. Competitive Landscape - The report outlines the competitive landscape, highlighting key players in the space photovoltaic sector and their respective advancements in technology and materials [88].